Originally posted by Melanerpes
a lot will depend on whether the protesters become violent or chaotic. If that happens, it will be easy for the government to roll out the tanks and claim they need to restore order. But if the protesters can maintain a huge, yet peaceful and "very orderly" protest, it will be hard for the government to crack down without it looking like the height of bar ...[text shortened]... uade the people that this protest is nothing more than a "western plot to destroy Iran"
I agree with you, however, as we can see:
It looks like the protesters are not all that peaceful, a reasonable person would see these protests as anarchy rather than a valid protest for change.
The fact that they chant "death to the dictator" doesn't help either, Ahmadinejad can be evil, or extremist, but he isn't a dictator, its not like he seized power through force.
It's also important that the US (and other nations) avoid getting involved right now, as it would make it much easier for the theocrats to persuade the people that this protest is nothing more than a "western plot to destroy Iran"
That's true. The US and its allies should stay out of this one, otherwise it will be easy for the regime to accuse the US of stirring up trouble in Iran.
And yet, some people hammer Obama for not saying anough in support for the protesters, I think he's doing the right thing staying quiet.