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Nate Silver Destroys US media COVID coverage in three Tweets flat

Nate Silver Destroys US media COVID coverage in three Tweets flat

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sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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1 edit

Here are all states where >0.5% of the population is currently infected with COVID-19, via https://covid19-projections.com

RI 1.9%
NJ 1.6
DC 1.5
IL 1.5
CT 1.4
MA 1.4
DE 1.2
MS 1.2
IN 1.1
PA 1.1
IA 1.0
MD 1.0
OH 0.8
AZ 0.7
CO 0.7
LA 0.7
MN 0.7
NM 0.7
NY 0.7
GA 0.6
NH 0.6

The rest of the list:

AL 0.5
MI 0.5
MO 0.5
NE 0.5
VA 0.5
ND 0.4
CA 0.3
FL 0.3
NV 0.3
SC 0.3
SD 0.3
KY 0.2
NC 0.2
TX 0.2
UT 0.2
WI 0.2
AR 0.1
KS 0.1
ME 0.1
OK 0.1
TN 0.1
VT 0.1
WA 0.1
WV 0.1
WY 0.1
AK <0.1
HI <0.1
ID <0.1
MT <0.1


Basically no correspondence between states that are actually having bad outbreaks and those that tend to be the subject of media coverage. The biggest problems right now are in dense-ish places in the Northeast (but no longer NY) and the Midwest. MS is a hotspot in the South.





I have nothing to add.

mchill
Cryptic

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1 edit

@sh76 said
Here are all states where >0.5% of the population is currently infected with COVID-19, via https://covid19-projections.com

RI 1.9%
NJ 1.6
DC 1.5
IL 1.5
CT 1.4
MA 1.4
DE 1.2
MS 1.2
IN 1.1
PA 1.1
IA 1.0
MD 1.0
OH 0.8
AZ 0.7
CO 0.7
LA 0.7
MN 0.7
NM 0.7
NY 0.7
GA 0.6
NH 0.6

The rest of the list:

AL 0.5
MI 0.5
MO 0.5
NE 0.5
VA 0.5
ND 0.4
CA 0.3
...[text shortened]... ut no longer NY) and the Midwest. MS is a hotspot in the South.





I have nothing to add.
Nate Silver can tweet up a storm, but I don't think this is very relevant, and would suggest that media coverage has little impact on the nuts and bolts of fighting this virus. Washington State once was the epicenter for COVID 19, and now it's barely in the top 20. WA once had a lot of media coverage, and now has virtually none, it's not made one bit of difference. The difference was made by people obeying social distancing, working from home, and getting the necessary equipment to healthcare workers fast, so they can do their job.

no1marauder
Naturally Right

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@sh76 said
Here are all states where >0.5% of the population is currently infected with COVID-19, via https://covid19-projections.com

RI 1.9%
NJ 1.6
DC 1.5
IL 1.5
CT 1.4
MA 1.4
DE 1.2
MS 1.2
IN 1.1
PA 1.1
IA 1.0
MD 1.0
OH 0.8
AZ 0.7
CO 0.7
LA 0.7
MN 0.7
NM 0.7
NY 0.7
GA 0.6
NH 0.6

The rest of the list:

AL 0.5
MI 0.5
MO 0.5
NE 0.5
VA 0.5
ND 0.4
CA 0.3
...[text shortened]... ut no longer NY) and the Midwest. MS is a hotspot in the South.





I have nothing to add.
Ouch. That site is projecting 180,000 deaths in the US by August 4th.

Hope they are wrong.

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

New York

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@mchill said
Nate Silver can tweet up a storm, but I don't think this is very relevant, and would suggest that media coverage has little impact on the nuts and bolts of fighting this virus. Washington State once was the epicenter for COVID 19, and now it's barely in the top 20. WA once had a lot of media coverage, and now has virtually none, it's not made one bit of difference. The differe ...[text shortened]... from home, and getting the necessary equipment to healthcare workers fast, so they can do their job.
Of course the media does't impact fighting the virus, but the point is that the media is uber-focused on placed like Florida, Georgia and Texas (due to their anti-lockdown approaches) while those are not the main trouble spots.

E

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Texas had 15 deaths reported yesterday.

no1marauder
Naturally Right

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@eladar said
Texas had 15 deaths reported yesterday.
Texas aggressively locked down in March even while it had few cases at the time. They rejected the Eladar solution.

R
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1 edit

@eladar said
Texas had 15 deaths reported yesterday.
Are you serious? That many??? Sweden is showing 5 deaths for the 5-22. Texas has nearly 3 times the Death Rate of Sweden!. Lock...It....Down....NOW!

https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa

E

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@joe-shmo said
Are you serious? That many??? Sweden is showing 5 deaths for the 5-22. Texas has nearly 3 times the Death Rate of Sweden!. Lock...It....Down....NOW!

https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6f9f87457ed9aa
Per million the rate is pretty much identical.

E

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@no1marauder said
Texas aggressively locked down in March even while it had few cases at the time. They rejected the Eladar solution.
Oh no, they had cases.

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