Originally posted by no1marauder
MMM's prediction that the Celts won't be a factor for the next decade is, like most of his predictions, rather laughable.
It typically takes a decade in the NBA to rebuild a team into a title contender, unless you get lucky through the NBA draft and pick up a marquee player. Most teams throughout NBA history have followed this trend. One franchise that bucked the trend, ironically, was the Celtics who were title contenders for three decades. The Celtics, however, were very fortunate in the NBA draft where they picked up studs like Jo Jo White, Dave Cowens, Larry Bird, and Kevin McHale. As history shows, the Celtics's luck is rare indeed.
It doesn't look good for the current Celtics. The Big 3 are just about done in their respective careers. Pierce has one year left on his contract, while the other two might not even resign next season. All of the Big 3 are in the twilight of their careers and a traditional 82 game schedule certainly won't help them next year. Further, the current Celtics team is not built to beat the Heat. It is of no consequence that the Celtics took the Heat to seven games this year since Bosh did not play for the majority of the series. If Bosh had been healthy, the series probably would not have been as competitive. Given this, the Celtics appear to be at the end of their title run.
The Celtics's could possibly retool and maintain their current status as title contenders. However, that would require one of two things to happen.
First, Rondo would have to develop a jumpshot on par with his contemporaries (CP3, D-Will, and Westbrook) that would in turn allow him to close for the Celtics and take pressure off of the Big 3. Rondo, however, is 26 years old and players typically reach their peak at that age. It is doubtful that Rondo will be able to develop an adequate jumpshot in time.
Second, the Celtics could try to surround Rondo with elite sharpshooters in an attempt to recreate the "Big 3" model. Names that come to mind are Eric Gordon, O.J. Mayo, Michael Beasley, and James Harden. The problem will be attracting players of that caliber to the Celtics. There is also a question as to whether there are any players who could recreate what the Big 3 did. KG was one of the best defenders of his generation, while Pierce and Allen made numerous clutch shots throughout their run. It is doubtful that the Celtics will be able to find and sign players of the Big 3's caliber.
In sum, it is doubtful that the Celtics will be able to retool to maintain their status as title contenders. Therefore, it will probably be another decade or so before the Celtics are relevant again (relevant meaning title contenders), unless, of course, they get lucky in the draft.