17 Aug '11 23:08>
Originally posted by quackquackAnd obviously Garcia and Colon are concerns (though I don't see any reason to be worried about Garcia's health), but every team has "concerns." The Phillies' offense is mediocre. The Red Sox has an unreliable pen after Papelbon and Bard and and an unreliable rotation after Beckett and Lester. The Rangers, well, they just aren't as good as any of those teams.
I like statics but there are limitations and people who write about baseball statics call everything they aren't measuring "luck". They devalue bullpens because they throw fewer innings then starters and then decide that winning close games is based on luck. Meanwhile top teams always have excellent pens and win more than their fair share of close games ...[text shortened]... do against good hitting teams (especially Boston) than I am in plus/ minus run differential.
Obviously there's no guarantee. But the Yankees have a solid chance to beat anyone in a short series. I'd rate the Phillies' chance at a title being higher because they have an easier road to the WS, but the Yankees have played as well or better than any team in baseball this year.