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Stats on the Slav

Stats on the Slav

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Hey Everyone,

Thanks for your advice on my previous post about a positional repertoire. Many of you agreed that the Slav was a sound choice against d4, and I like it because it can be played against the Reti and the English, whereas the Nimzo/QID requires learning two defenses for d4 and then something else for the English and Reti.

However, I used a couple of databases to look up Slav stats, and they were dismal. Generally, I don't worry too much if one opening is a couple of points better than another, figuring that there are too many variables to consider to choose an opening based on a slight statistical superiority. However, the stats I looked at showed a -16% score for black in the Slav as opposed to a -3% for the Nimzo and a - 9% for the QID. In fact, the only major opening to d4 that scored worse than the Slav was the QGD. Could someone let me know if these stats are reasonably accurate? Have recent Slav games shown better results for Black? This seems like such a large performance difference that it makes me leery of taking up the defense.

Thanks,
Scott

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Originally posted by smrex13
Hey Everyone,

Thanks for your advice on my previous post about a positional repertoire. Many of you agreed that the Slav was a sound choice against d4, and I like it because it can be played against the Reti and the English, whereas the Nimzo/QID requires learning two defenses for d4 and then something else for the English and Reti.

However, I used a ...[text shortened]... large performance difference that it makes me leery of taking up the defense.

Thanks,
Scott
Where are the stats from? If they're professional/titled player stats then they don't mean anything for amateur players. ALL openings are playable at this level. Well maybe not at the 2000 and up level even here.

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Originally posted by smrex13
Hey Everyone,

Thanks for your advice on my previous post about a positional repertoire. Many of you agreed that the Slav was a sound choice against d4, and I like it because it can be played against the Reti and the English, whereas the Nimzo/QID requires learning two defenses for d4 and then something else for the English and Reti.

However, I used a ...[text shortened]... large performance difference that it makes me leery of taking up the defense.

Thanks,
Scott
If they are from a database that includes low rated games it might be because players that don't know what to play after 1.d4 usually go for the QGD of Slav (very 'natural' openings) while someone that hasn't got any experience with 1.d4 rarely will go for an opening like the QID.

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Originally posted by wib
Where are the stats from? If they're professional/titled player stats then they don't mean anything for amateur players. ALL openings are playable at this level. Well maybe not at the 2000 and up level even here.
The stats were taken from both chessgames.com and chesslab's position search. In each case, the games were restricted to fairly advanced players. I was just very surprised to see such poor stats, especially when compared with other d4 openings.

Scott

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Originally posted by smrex13
The stats were taken from both chessgames.com and chesslab's position search. In each case, the games were restricted to fairly advanced players. I was just very surprised to see such poor stats, especially when compared with other d4 openings.

Scott
That surprises me too. The Slav seems highly respected by players at those levels. I wonder what the dealio is with that?

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I get a 43% on c3 in the Fritz database. I get a 43% on Bb4 in nimzo. Are you sure your stats are right? On game colony, Slav got 39% white wins, 23 black, 38% draws. On Nimzo white got 33%, black 30%, and draws 37%. Pretty equal, I'd say. Also, as someone said, you can't base your repertoire solely on stats, all mainstream openings are ok at our level.

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I got 42% when using a really big database. That still isn't great, but not terrible as the previous statistics suggested.

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Originally posted by buddy2
I get a 43% on c3 in the Fritz database. I get a 43% on Bb4 in nimzo. Are you sure your stats are right? On game colony, Slav got 39% white wins, 23 black, 38% draws. On Nimzo white got 33%, black 30%, and draws 37%. Pretty equal, I'd say. Also, as someone said, you can't base your repertoire solely on stats, all mainstream openings are ok at our level.
To me it seems like this is a large difference, unless I'm not understanding something. In the game colonly stats you mention, White only outscores black by 3% in the Nimzo (better than most Sicilians, I believe), while in the Slav white outscores black by 16%. Looking at those stats, I can't see what would recommend the Slav over the Nimzo. In other words, out of a hundred games, Black would score 48.5 with the Nimzo and only 42 with the Slav. I'd gladly take an extra six and half points.

I do agree that at non master level, pretty much anything is playable. However, I think looking at stats from master games can give some insight into the type and success of a particular opening. And I was shocked by how many openings score better than the Slav.

Best,
Scott