29 Jun '09 05:27>
Originally posted by AThousandYoungI figured you'd see that after working it out completely yourself.
Wait, this seems to give me a 67% chance. Hmmm.
I think my mistake was not realizing black/black has two out of two possible ways to pick black first, while white/black has one out of two possible ways to pick black first. If I did not know the ball I picked was black my 50% would be correct I think.
What part of my explaination doesn't clearly show what's happening?