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167 per day equals 61k per year

167 per day equals 61k per year

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Just a bit of arithmetic to highlight just how bad this pandemic will get.


@kmax87

Experts say deaths will drop to near 0 in August for the US and the UK.


@kmax87
? Sure, if you get paid 167 bucks for 8 hours or 20.875 per hour and that would be your wage if you worked 365 days a year. In the real world, just multiply the hourly by 2080 and that shows 43K not 61.


@sonhouse said
@kmax87
? Sure, if you get paid 167 bucks for 8 hours or 20.875 per hour and that would be your wage if you worked 365 days a year. In the real world, just multiply the hourly by 2080 and that shows 43K not 61.
No. 167 deaths per day equals 61k deaths per year. What that means is we should not become complacent or blase about the numbers, because they have a nasty habit of adding up.


@eladar said
@kmax87

Experts say deaths will drop to near 0 in August for the US and the UK.
You keep acting like you are a Trump disinformation agent, on loan from Russia.




@suzianne said
You keep acting like you are a Trump disinformation agent, on loan from Russia.
An astute observation.

One can also identify an enemy by the size and strength of it's tail-stepped yelping.

How strange that a mere chess-site might have collected the interest of a foreign troll. Must have been a "spy-school" reject.


@kmax87 said
Just a bit of arithmetic to highlight just how bad this pandemic will get.
In US:
4 days ago: 46 deaths
3 days ago: 113 deaths
2 days ago: 141 deaths
1 day ago: 225 deaths

Hopefully the medication they're beginning to use will improve this. But one things seems certain is that no country is going to experience a flat curve in terms of number of deaths.


@techsouth said
In US:
4 days ago: 46 deaths
3 days ago: 113 deaths
2 days ago: 141 deaths
1 day ago: 225 deaths

Hopefully the medication they're beginning to use will improve this. But one things seems certain is that no country is going to experience a flat curve in terms of number of deaths.
Two dislikes already for a post that simply contains facts.

I guess some don't like facts.

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@suzianne said
You keep acting like you are a Trump disinformation agent, on loan from Russia.
it is really sad to see you liberals politicizing this aberration by china. assigning blame everywhere but where it goes.

1 edit

@mott-the-hoople said
it is really sad to see you liberals politicizing this aberration by china. assigning blame everywhere but where it goes.
We know exactly where the blame goes. If we had an adult in the WH, instead of a spoiled child, we'd be well on our way to fixing this for Americans.

The proof of this pudding is where Trump is spending his anger. Is it with manufacturers who can't seem to provide PPE or ventilators without demanding a profit, or is it with a knowledgeable immunologist who is trying to explain this pandemic to us in terms we can understand? He's actually pissed that Dr. Fauci is correcting his rather stupid statements to the press. He's pissed that people are listening to the experts instead of him. Next thing we know, Trump will be firing Fauci, calling him a "showboater".

You need to grow up too, and stop blaming China. That horse is already out of the barn. It's time to actually DO something about this instead of crying in the press every day.

Children blame. Adults solve the problem.


@suzianne said
You keep acting like you are a Trump disinformation agent, on loan from Russia.
In the absence of an intervention, meaning social distancing and so forth, what Eladar is saying is correct, but modeling predicts that 2.2 million US citizens will have died in the meantime [1]. I got a hack's estimate of the age break down by using the Case Fatality Rate per age group from China [2] taking averages between age groups as they don't map straightforwardly to the demographic breakdown of the US given in [3], multiplied the case fatality rate by the percentage of the population and scaled the result so the sum matches the figure of 2.2 million. The age breakdown of excess deaths will be:

0 - 14: 47,560
15 - 24: 33,500
25 - 54: 150,540
55 - 64: 330,500
65+ : 1,637,850

Note that this is the number of excess deaths in the worst possible case. Also notice that the number of deaths of people under 25 will exceed the number of people of all ages who die of the 'flu each year.

[1] https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus_disease_2019#Prognosis
[3] https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/us.html


The post that was quoted here has been removed
lol, exactly.

I have to laugh at the Chinese pushing the narrative that the US military released the virus in October, 2019, at the International Military Games held in Wuhan, China.

What a joke! All the US had to do, in order to get to China's population, is release the virus in Topeka, Kansas. It'll get to China lol

And of course, releasing the virus _anywhere_ by _anyone_ will cause it to all come back on you like a boomerang.

In other words, it's all bullsht. tit-for-tat games for things the Whitehouse had said about China's lack of transparency

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https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-briton-21-with-no-existing-health-conditions-dies-after-contracting-covid-19-11963451