25 Mar 20
@sonhouse saidNo. 167 deaths per day equals 61k deaths per year. What that means is we should not become complacent or blase about the numbers, because they have a nasty habit of adding up.
@kmax87
? Sure, if you get paid 167 bucks for 8 hours or 20.875 per hour and that would be your wage if you worked 365 days a year. In the real world, just multiply the hourly by 2080 and that shows 43K not 61.
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25 Mar 20
@suzianne saidAn astute observation.
You keep acting like you are a Trump disinformation agent, on loan from Russia.
One can also identify an enemy by the size and strength of it's tail-stepped yelping.
How strange that a mere chess-site might have collected the interest of a foreign troll. Must have been a "spy-school" reject.
25 Mar 20
@kmax87 saidIn US:
Just a bit of arithmetic to highlight just how bad this pandemic will get.
4 days ago: 46 deaths
3 days ago: 113 deaths
2 days ago: 141 deaths
1 day ago: 225 deaths
Hopefully the medication they're beginning to use will improve this. But one things seems certain is that no country is going to experience a flat curve in terms of number of deaths.
25 Mar 20
@techsouth saidTwo dislikes already for a post that simply contains facts.
In US:
4 days ago: 46 deaths
3 days ago: 113 deaths
2 days ago: 141 deaths
1 day ago: 225 deaths
Hopefully the medication they're beginning to use will improve this. But one things seems certain is that no country is going to experience a flat curve in terms of number of deaths.
I guess some don't like facts.
@mott-the-hoople saidWe know exactly where the blame goes. If we had an adult in the WH, instead of a spoiled child, we'd be well on our way to fixing this for Americans.
it is really sad to see you liberals politicizing this aberration by china. assigning blame everywhere but where it goes.
The proof of this pudding is where Trump is spending his anger. Is it with manufacturers who can't seem to provide PPE or ventilators without demanding a profit, or is it with a knowledgeable immunologist who is trying to explain this pandemic to us in terms we can understand? He's actually pissed that Dr. Fauci is correcting his rather stupid statements to the press. He's pissed that people are listening to the experts instead of him. Next thing we know, Trump will be firing Fauci, calling him a "showboater".
You need to grow up too, and stop blaming China. That horse is already out of the barn. It's time to actually DO something about this instead of crying in the press every day.
Children blame. Adults solve the problem.
25 Mar 20
@suzianne saidIn the absence of an intervention, meaning social distancing and so forth, what Eladar is saying is correct, but modeling predicts that 2.2 million US citizens will have died in the meantime [1]. I got a hack's estimate of the age break down by using the Case Fatality Rate per age group from China [2] taking averages between age groups as they don't map straightforwardly to the demographic breakdown of the US given in [3], multiplied the case fatality rate by the percentage of the population and scaled the result so the sum matches the figure of 2.2 million. The age breakdown of excess deaths will be:
You keep acting like you are a Trump disinformation agent, on loan from Russia.
0 - 14: 47,560
15 - 24: 33,500
25 - 54: 150,540
55 - 64: 330,500
65+ : 1,637,850
Note that this is the number of excess deaths in the worst possible case. Also notice that the number of deaths of people under 25 will exceed the number of people of all ages who die of the 'flu each year.
[1] https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus_disease_2019#Prognosis
[3] https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/us.html
25 Mar 20
The post that was quoted here has been removedlol, exactly.
I have to laugh at the Chinese pushing the narrative that the US military released the virus in October, 2019, at the International Military Games held in Wuhan, China.
What a joke! All the US had to do, in order to get to China's population, is release the virus in Topeka, Kansas. It'll get to China lol
And of course, releasing the virus _anywhere_ by _anyone_ will cause it to all come back on you like a boomerang.
In other words, it's all bullsht. tit-for-tat games for things the Whitehouse had said about China's lack of transparency