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Corzine in big trouble!

Corzine in big trouble!

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sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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I'll try to contain my giddiness, but it's hard.

Corzine to win is now trading at 15 (out of 100) on intrade.

Christie leads by 10 with 36% reporting; not insurmountable, but big.

Nate Silver seems to even be conceding that it looks grim for ol' John.

I hope he has his seatbelt on. Looks like he might be headed for a crash.

Edit: Christie to win just hit 90 on intrade!!

zeeblebot

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who are these guys?

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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Originally posted by zeeblebot
who are these guys?
who are who?

Corzine and Christie are candidates for governor of New Jersey. The polls just closed at 8:00. corzine is the incumbent Dem.

Nate Silver is a statistician who runs fivethirtyeight.com

Intrade is www.intrade.com

zeeblebot

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ok, "candidates for governor of New Jersey" is what i was looking for.

sh76
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Corzine to win is now trading at 7 on Intrade.

Either Christie is going to pull it off or a lot of people are going to look pretty stupid tonight.

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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Originally posted by sh76
I'll try to contain my giddiness, but it's hard.

Corzine to win is now trading at 15 (out of 100) on intrade.

Christie leads by 10 with 36% reporting; not insurmountable, but big.

Nate Silver seems to even be conceding that it looks grim for ol' John.

I hope he has his seatbelt on. Looks like he might be headed for a crash.

Edit: Christie to win just hit 90 on intrade!!
Yikes!

Race tightening. Lead down to 5. Corzine up to 20 on Intrade.

This is more exciting than the World Series.

sh76
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Christie increases lead to 50-44. Dagett seems like a non-factor, which favors Christie. Where are the county-by-county maps like we saw last year??? I need my election fix!

Last trade has Corzine down to 5.2 on Intrade.

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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Some preliminary results in NJ:

Morris County: Christie +26; 2008 result: McCain + 9

Cape May County: Christie +17; 2008 result: McCain + 9

Middlesex County: Christie +2; 2008 Result: Obama +21

Cumberland County: Corzine +8; 2008 Result: Obama +21


Still looking pretty good.

w

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Originally posted by sh76
Some preliminary results in NJ:

Morris County: Christie +26; 2008 result: McCain + 9

Cape May County: Christie +17; 2008 result: McCain + 9

Middlesex County: Christie +2; 2008 Result: Obama +21

Cumberland County: Corzine +8; 2008 Result: Obama +21


Still looking pretty good.
I have heard that even if the Dems win, the mere fact that the race is close is mind blowing simply because it is a traditional Dem strong hold. What we see in Virginia is the Republicans sweeping into power once again. So how does this bode for Obama and company? He has not even been in power for more than a minute and the country is running the other way.

sh76
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Originally posted by whodey
I have heard that even if the Dems win, the mere fact that the race is close is mind blowing simply because it is a traditional Dem strong hold. What we see in Virginia is the Republicans sweeping into power once again. So how does this bode for Obama and company? He has not even been in power for more than a minute and the country is running the other way.
It's over, baby! Christie in a mini-rout!

w

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Originally posted by sh76
It's over, baby! Christie in a mini-rout!
Here is my dream. My dream is that people will remember why it is they hate the Democrat party currently as the polls indicate. Then, at the same time, I would like them to remember how they hated the Republican party a mere year ago and why they did so. Then they should shove it all in a bottle and send it to Washington.

I can dream, can't I?


BTW: I just can't believe the Republicans won in Jersey. I think it is the 7th sign.

M

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Originally posted by whodey
Here is my dream. My dream is that people will remember why it is they hate the Democrat party currently as the polls indicate. Then, at the same time, I would like them to remember how they hated the Republican party a mere year ago and why they did so. Then they should shove it all in a bottle and send it to Washington.

I can dream, can't I?


BTW: I just can't believe the Republicans won in Jersey. I think it is the 7th sign.
Whodey - the results in New Jersey should have bothered you greatly. Because if the people of New Jersey REALLY had wanted to send a message that they were fed up with both parties, they would've voted for Daggett. Instead, it was the usual dump the incumbent routine and vote for the other party's smiling face - which is not going to change anything.

I was hoping there'd be an unexpected election day surge for the independent candidate similar to what happened when Jesse Ventura became governor in Minnesota. Instead, there was an unexpected election day wimp-out as Daggett got less than half of what the polls had indicated.

sh76
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Originally posted by Melanerpes
Whodey - the results in New Jersey should have bothered you greatly. Because if the people of New Jersey REALLY had wanted to send a message that they were fed up with both parties, they would've voted for Daggett. Instead, it was the usual dump the incumbent routine and vote for the other party's smiling face - which is not going to change anything.

I ...[text shortened]... expected election day wimp-out as Daggett got less than half of what the polls had indicated.
Independents can win weird states like Minnesota (I like MN, but just saying... any state that can elect Al franken to anything has got to be a little weird). New Jersey is the ultimate establishment state. It will snow in Miami in July before an independent wins a statewide New Jersey race.

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Meanwhile a Democrat has won in a New York House district the Republicans have held since the Civil War days, which is riotously amusing to me. And it all happened thanks to Sarah Palin and Glenn Beck!

Also the Republicans had a shot at winning a House seat in California, and not only did they fail, the seat is being taken by a more progressive Democrat than the previous incumbent.

I look forward to the impending repetition across the country of the Tea-bagger instigated fiasco of New York House District 23. Moderate Republicans in "safe" Republican House districts will probably lose their seats to Dems thanks to attacks on their right flank by theocratic nutters backing third-party wackos.

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Also, wouldn't it be more reasonable to say that Corzine lost because he was being wracked by insurmountable scandals and corruption charges? And isn't Virginia a purple state that can be expected to bounce back and forth between Dems and "Other" like a ping-pong ball?

I don't think I see much of a reflection on Obama in any of these election results -- whether they be Dem wins or losses.

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