24d
Good Morning! This is what I posted Last Monday, prior to Tuesday vote.
""My mates and I decided the following while watching football.
Senate: Rs will gain at LEAST 3 senate seats. WV and MT for certain.
House: Rs will pick up 8 seats
Trump (no sense mentioning Harris) will tie or win popular vote
Trump will win at least 5 of the swing states
Trump will win with 300 Electoral Votes. I told them y'all do not like EC. My cousin in WY said he likes the EC.""
Here is Then and Now!!!!
Then: I predicted 300 Electoral Votes: NOW, 310 Electoral Votes.
Then: I predicted House Seat Gain '8''. NOW,, 4 seats! (about 12 still to report)
Then: I predicted Senate Seat Gain '3'. NOW: 4 seats!!!!
Then: I predicted Trump win or tie popular vote: NOW,, He DID!
Then: I predicted at least FIVE Swing states: NOW,,,, he won All (7)!
I think I will run to Vegas and play some blackjack!!
24d
@AverageJoe1 saidOne doesn't win at 21 by guessing.
Good Morning! This is what I posted Last Monday, prior to Tuesday vote.
""My mates and I decided the following while watching football.
Senate: Rs will gain at LEAST 3 senate seats. WV and MT for certain.
House: Rs will pick up 8 seats
Trump (no sense mentioning Harris) will tie or win popular vote
Trump will win at least 5 of the swing states
Trump will win with ...[text shortened]... states: NOW,,,, he won All (7)!
I think I will run to Vegas and play some blackjack!!
@AverageJoe1 saidRepublicans will do well to note that the share of vote from those identifying as politically independent was hugely up on 2020 reaching 34%.
Good Morning! This is what I posted Last Monday, prior to Tuesday vote.
""My mates and I decided the following while watching football.
Senate: Rs will gain at LEAST 3 senate seats. WV and MT for certain.
House: Rs will pick up 8 seats
Trump (no sense mentioning Harris) will tie or win popular vote
Trump will win at least 5 of the swing states
Trump will win with ...[text shortened]... states: NOW,,,, he won All (7)!
I think I will run to Vegas and play some blackjack!!
Despite claims in this forum that there are no or very few floating voters, especially toward the end of the campaign; this poll in the link can be interpreted as more than a third of the electorate lent Trump their vote. In my opinion because they are sick and tired of the liberal virtue posturing and misfiring on key issues.
Anyway it’s something for the GOP to consider as Trump rampages through his own agenda.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/first-us-independent-turnout-tops-democrats-ties-republicans-edison-research-2024-11-06/
(Apologies for edits, typos)
24d
@AverageJoe1 saidRepublicans haven't gained any House seats in the net.https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-House/
Good Morning! This is what I posted Last Monday, prior to Tuesday vote.
""My mates and I decided the following while watching football.
Senate: Rs will gain at LEAST 3 senate seats. WV and MT for certain.
House: Rs will pick up 8 seats
Trump (no sense mentioning Harris) will tie or win popular vote
Trump will win at least 5 of the swing states
Trump will win with ...[text shortened]... states: NOW,,,, he won All (7)!
I think I will run to Vegas and play some blackjack!!
But good work on the Presidential and Senate races.
24d
1 edit
@divegeester saidIt's all about the con and who falls for it.
Republicans will do well to note that the share of vote from those identifying as politically independent was hugely up on 2020 reaching 34%.
Despite claims in this forum that there are no or very few floating voters, especially toward the end of the campaign; this poll in the link can be interpreted as more than a third of the electorate lent Trump their vote. In my ...[text shortened]... -turnout-tops-democrats-ties-republicans-edison-research-2024-11-06/
(Apologies for edits, typos)
How many people do you think flat-out lie to pollsters?
24d
@divegeester saidIndependents went for Harris 49% to 46%. https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0
Republicans will do well to note that the share of vote from those identifying as politically independent was hugely up on 2020 reaching 34%.
Despite claims in this forum that there are no or very few floating voters, especially toward the end of the campaign; this poll in the link can be interpreted as more than a third of the electorate lent Trump their vote. In my ...[text shortened]... -turnout-tops-democrats-ties-republicans-edison-research-2024-11-06/
(Apologies for edits, typos)
Granted that's 5 points less than voted for Biden in 2020 and may have been decisive.
24d
@divegeester saidGood post
Republicans will do well to note that the share of vote from those identifying as politically independent was hugely up on 2020 reaching 34%.
Despite claims in this forum that there are no or very few floating voters, especially toward the end of the campaign; this poll in the link can be interpreted as more than a third of the electorate lent Trump their vote. In my ...[text shortened]... -turnout-tops-democrats-ties-republicans-edison-research-2024-11-06/
(Apologies for edits, typos)
24d
@no1marauder saidCNN disagrees with Reuters’ Edison poll it seems. Or I misunderstanding you?
Independents went for Harris 49% to 46%. https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0
Granted that's 5 points less than voted for Biden in 2020 and may have been decisive.
24d
1 edit
@divegeester saidYou're misunderstanding the Reuters' article and/or me:
CNN disagrees with Reuters’ Edison poll it seems. Or I misunderstanding you?
" Some 50% of independents said they voted for Harris and 45% for Trump - a 4 percentage point improvement for the Republican from 2020."
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/first-us-independent-turnout-tops-democrats-ties-republicans-edison-research-2024-11-06/
CNN uses the same exit poll as Reuters:
"Exit polls are conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool on behalf of a consortium of media companies: CNN, ABC, CBS and NBC. "
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/how-exit-polls-work-and-what-they-will-tell-us-on-election-night/ar-AA1tzanK?ocid=BingNewsSerp
24d
@no1marauder saidI don’t think that’s what the Reuters article said
You're misunderstanding the Reuters' article and/or me:
" Some 50% of independents said they voted for Harris and 45% for Trump - a 4 percentage point improvement for the Republican from 2020."
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/first-us-independent-turnout-tops-democrats-ties-republicans-edison-research-2024-11-06/
CNN uses the same exit poll as Reuters:
"Exit ...[text shortened]... itics/how-exit-polls-work-and-what-they-will-tell-us-on-election-night/ar-AA1tzanK?ocid=BingNewsSerp
23d
@divegeester saidIt's a direct quote from the Reuters' article; try reading it.
I don’t think that’s what the Reuters article said