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Final Report of AvJoe Prediction Results. Thanks for participating.

Final Report of AvJoe Prediction Results. Thanks for participating.

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Good Morning! This is what I posted Last Monday, prior to Tuesday vote.
""My mates and I decided the following while watching football.

Senate: Rs will gain at LEAST 3 senate seats. WV and MT for certain.
House: Rs will pick up 8 seats
Trump (no sense mentioning Harris) will tie or win popular vote
Trump will win at least 5 of the swing states
Trump will win with 300 Electoral Votes. I told them y'all do not like EC. My cousin in WY said he likes the EC.""


Here is Then and Now!!!!

Then: I predicted 300 Electoral Votes: NOW, 310 Electoral Votes.
Then: I predicted House Seat Gain '8''. NOW,, 4 seats! (about 12 still to report)
Then: I predicted Senate Seat Gain '3'. NOW: 4 seats!!!!
Then: I predicted Trump win or tie popular vote: NOW,, He DID!
Then: I predicted at least FIVE Swing states: NOW,,,, he won All (7)!

I think I will run to Vegas and play some blackjack!!

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@AverageJoe1 said
Good Morning! This is what I posted Last Monday, prior to Tuesday vote.
""My mates and I decided the following while watching football.

Senate: Rs will gain at LEAST 3 senate seats. WV and MT for certain.
House: Rs will pick up 8 seats
Trump (no sense mentioning Harris) will tie or win popular vote
Trump will win at least 5 of the swing states
Trump will win with ...[text shortened]... states: NOW,,,, he won All (7)!

I think I will run to Vegas and play some blackjack!!
One doesn't win at 21 by guessing.

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@AverageJoe1 said
Good Morning! This is what I posted Last Monday, prior to Tuesday vote.
""My mates and I decided the following while watching football.

Senate: Rs will gain at LEAST 3 senate seats. WV and MT for certain.
House: Rs will pick up 8 seats
Trump (no sense mentioning Harris) will tie or win popular vote
Trump will win at least 5 of the swing states
Trump will win with ...[text shortened]... states: NOW,,,, he won All (7)!

I think I will run to Vegas and play some blackjack!!
Republicans haven't gained any House seats in the net.https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-House/

But good work on the Presidential and Senate races.

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It's all about the con and who falls for it.

How many people do you think flat-out lie to pollsters?

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Independents went for Harris 49% to 46%. https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0

Granted that's 5 points less than voted for Biden in 2020 and may have been decisive.

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Good post

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@Suzianne said
It's all about the con and who falls for it.

How many people do you think flat-out lie to pollsters?
I saw an article on that and it seems a lot. I might have, who knows.

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You're misunderstanding the Reuters' article and/or me:

" Some 50% of independents said they voted for Harris and 45% for Trump - a 4 percentage point improvement for the Republican from 2020."

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/first-us-independent-turnout-tops-democrats-ties-republicans-edison-research-2024-11-06/

CNN uses the same exit poll as Reuters:

"Exit polls are conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool on behalf of a consortium of media companies: CNN, ABC, CBS and NBC. "

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/how-exit-polls-work-and-what-they-will-tell-us-on-election-night/ar-AA1tzanK?ocid=BingNewsSerp

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It's a direct quote from the Reuters' article; try reading it.