@teinosuke said
Ideal outcome is probably a Cold War between the US and China which both of them lose. (Let me be clear - a Cold War; no decent human being wants a hot one).
If the EU had been sensible and far-sighted enough to forge a common foreign policy, it might prudently have aimed to have sat back and watched.
The EU doesn't work from an economic or political standpoint, and it is run by people who are too attached to federalist ideology - or their outrageous salaries - to care about the consequences of their policies for ordinary people or the morality of the means of achieving their goal. Indeed, they spent years - long before 2016 - using every diktat and dirty trick in the book to remove obstacles in their path, all while hiding behind wafer-thin "liberal values" and trite platitudes. These methods include, but are not limited to, overturning referendums, manipulating bond spreads to topple disobedient national governments, and forcing colonial conditions on the southern states.
Anyway, if one wishes to compare the records of past and current hegemons, one will find that Europe's legacy is the most horrifying of them all: genocide (of Africans, Asians, and especially Native Americans and Jews), colonization, rape and pillage on a global scale. Neither I nor many of my countrymen subscribe to Eurocentrism or hope that Europe returns to its former position. By comparison, much-derided America's time on top, while flawed, has been comparatively peaceful.
Anyway, I don't wish ill on either America or China. When I joined here as naive 17-year-old, I was not right-wing. Then I dared to criticize the EU (which is not unwarranted) - little did I realize the torrent of hateful abuse and condescension that would come my way from its supporters in and outside of Britain. While I can't really relate to either "side" of American politics, I can honestly say that I've almost never felt enmity continuing after a debate. Americans on here largely didn't care that I was young - they treated me as an equal. To Europeans, I was a nobody. Later, when I got stuck here as a direct consequence of EU law (and then almost died), America and the American way saved my life.
It is a two-way street when it comes to China. Yes, the government is terrible (to its own citizens first and foremost). But the rest of the world is so viciously Sinophobic that many Chinese people don't see the point in trying to be friends. I am surrounded by many mainlanders, and it is amazing how they soften and open up when they realize that someone has taken the time to learn the most basic of basic things about China.
The EU's inability to fix its economic problems has divided Europe rather than united it. This will lead to severe political instability, and it has long since sowed the seeds of its downfall. The world is changing, and Britain has learned the hard lessons early. Italy jettisoning the Euro is an inevitability. When that day comes, I shall not shed any tears.