Iowa poll: Ron Paul rising

Metal Brain

Debates

15 Nov 11

Metal Brain

Joined: 07 Dec 05
Moves: 22641

15 Nov 11

Even I am surprised how well Ron Paul is doing in Iowa.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/elections/

Can he keep up the momentum?

Kunsoo

Joined: 03 Feb 07
Moves: 199190

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by Metal Brain
Even I am surprised how well Ron Paul is doing in Iowa.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/elections/

Can he keep up the momentum?

Didn't that happen last time around?

Metal Brain

Joined: 07 Dec 05
Moves: 22641

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by Kunsoo
Didn't that happen last time around?

Did it?

moon1969

Houston, Texas

Joined: 28 Sep 10
Moves: 14347

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by Metal Brain
Even I am surprised how well Ron Paul is doing in Iowa.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/elections/

Can he keep up the momentum?

Wow, maybe Paul can cause some trouble in Iowa.

I noticed on that page of your link, that nationally, Obama beats Paul by +6. The President polls ahead of all of the Republican candidates, even (+1) the generic Republican candidate with no name.

whodey

Joined: 02 Jan 06
Moves: 12857

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by moon1969
Wow, maybe Paul can cause some trouble in Iowa.

I noticed on that page of your link, that nationally, Obama beats Paul by +6. The President polls ahead of all of the Republican candidates, even (+1) the generic Republican candidate with no name.

If your keeping score at home.

The Fed +6

Ron Paul +1

Ok gang, it's the fourth quarter with the bases loaded and it is our last power play. We can still gett'em!!!

Metal Brain

Joined: 07 Dec 05
Moves: 22641

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by moon1969
Wow, maybe Paul can cause some trouble in Iowa.

I noticed on that page of your link, that nationally, Obama beats Paul by +6. The President polls ahead of all of the Republican candidates, even (+1) the generic Republican candidate with no name.

I noticed the same thing, but I think that could easily change in 11 months if the economy is still doing poorly. Keep in mind that Obama does not have to debate anybody for a while unless a democrat challenges him for the nomination and I doubt that will happen. When he has to debate it will weaken his poll numbers IMO.

KazetNagorra

Germany

Joined: 27 Oct 08
Moves: 3118

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by Metal Brain
I noticed the same thing, but I think that could easily change in 11 months if the economy is still doing poorly. Keep in mind that Obama does not have to debate anybody for a while unless a democrat challenges him for the nomination and I doubt that will happen. When he has to debate it will weaken his poll numbers IMO.

Really? I don't Obama in very high esteem, but I've always felt he is a solid speaker.

dryhump

Joined: 14 Dec 07
Moves: 3763

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by KazetNagorra
Really? I don't Obama in very high esteem, but I've always felt he is a solid speaker.

He is a good speaker, the problem is that the economy will be a great tool for an opponent to use in a debate.

KazetNagorra

Germany

Joined: 27 Oct 08
Moves: 3118

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by dryhump
He is a good speaker, the problem is that the economy will be a great tool for an opponent to use in a debate.

Who knows, the economy was doing poorly in 1984 but Reagan still won by a landslide.

Eladar

Joined: 12 Jul 08
Moves: 13814

16 Nov 11

Reagan won with the question "are you better off now than four years ago"?

If Obama asks that question, then he's sure to lose.

no1marauder

Naturally Right

Somewhere Else

Joined: 22 Jun 04
Moves: 42677

16 Nov 11

Originally posted by Metal Brain
Did it?

Somewhat; Paul was pulling around 5% in the Iowa polls in November 2007 but he got added support through December and wound up with just under 10% in the caucuses: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_republican_caucus-207.html