2014 is here, and the mid term elections are just around the corner. As both sides gear up for another round of attack ad's, dirty tricks, lies, half truths, character assissination, and other little nuggets of wisdom in an attempt to win our votes, I'll open things by giving my prediction on the final outcome: Very little will change! I predict the House will remain controlled by the GOP, though they may lose 3-5 seats. The Senate will remain controlled my the Democrats, though they may win or lose 2-3 seats. President Omana's fading popularity is balanced by the public's anger over the recent government shutdown (which most blame the tea party for). So, meet the new boss...same as the old boss!😏
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Originally posted by bill718The relative popularity and smoothness of the ACA roll out in Kentucky will contribute to Mitch McConnell's defeat. In fact, the ACA will be a non-issue generally.
2014 is here, and the mid term elections are just around the corner. As both sides gear up for another round of attack ad's, dirty tricks, lies, half truths, character assissination, and other little nuggets of wisdom in an attempt to win our votes, I'll open things by giving my prediction on the final outcome: Very little will change! I predict the House wi ...[text shortened]... t shutdown (which most blame the tea party for). So, meet the new boss...same as the old boss!😏
23 Jan 14
Originally posted by bill718I'm not convinced just yet.
The Senate will remain controlled my the Democrats, though they may win or lose 2-3 seats.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2014#Latest_predictions
Looks like West Virginia and South Dakota are unlikely holds for the Democrats. Beyond that, Republicans only need four gains from among Montana, Arkansas, Michigan, Louisiana, North Carolina, and Alaska, all of which are rated at least "toss-up" by one predictor.
My guess is that Democrats squeak by with 51-49 or even with VP Biden as the 51-50 tiebreaker, but I'd still give Republicans better than 1-in-10 chances of finding a way to reclaim the majority.
Either way, I'll look forward to the 2016 Senate elections when Republicans have to defend their gains from back in 2010.
23 Jan 14
Originally posted by bill718To look at the future all you have to do is look at your past.
2014 is here, and the mid term elections are just around the corner. As both sides gear up for another round of attack ad's, dirty tricks, lies, half truths, character assissination, and other little nuggets of wisdom in an attempt to win our votes, I'll open things by giving my prediction on the final outcome: Very little will change! I predict the House wi ...[text shortened]... t shutdown (which most blame the tea party for). So, meet the new boss...same as the old boss!😏
Traditionally Congress has a turn over rate less than that of the former USSR regime.
What we see before us is a government that never stops expanding. Why would anyone think that they would slam on the breaks and change course? Sure, you have a few groups to challenge the powers that be, but they are more or less just an irritant to be derided.
Even if the GOP took over the entire world, nothing would change in the Federal government.
23 Jan 14
Originally posted by JS357I hope you are right. Everyone hates this guy.....except for the few Republicans left in the world.
The relative popularity and smoothness of the ACA roll out in Kentucky will contribute to Mitch McConnell's defeat. In fact, the ACA will be a non-issue generally.
23 Jan 14
1 edit
Originally posted by JS357Yeah, Kentucky is pretty poor state, so as long as the poor folks living on social security benefits get even more stuff from the government (expand Medicaid) they will vote to keep it coming.
The relative popularity and smoothness of the ACA roll out in Kentucky will contribute to Mitch McConnell's defeat. In fact, the ACA will be a non-issue generally.
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23 Jan 14
Originally posted by EladarYes on Ky being a net taker of $$ from the fed govt.
Yeah, Kentucky is pretty poor state, so as long as the poor folks living on social security benefits get even more stuff from the government (expand Medicaid) they will vote to keep it coming.
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/02/is-your-state-a-net-giver-or-taker-of-federal-taxes/
Its GOP senators McC and Rand, and 5 out of 6 GOP Representatives, do a good job of milking while criticizing milk. Contrast with Minnesota which has 2 Dem senators and a majority of Dem representatives.
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/members/KY
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/members/MN