20 Jan '12 04:24>
I confess that this is a narrow topic of discussion, which in fact I have already
visited to a degree on RHP, but I think it is an interesting and unusual
consideration of the U.S. political system worthy of its own thread.
Since 1900, there have been 23 sessions of Congress in which there was a
politically "divided government." In each of those cases but one, however, the
House party differed from that of the presidency and the Senate, or the party
of the House and the Senate differed from that of the presidency. In other
words, in only one case (107th Congress) was the breakdown of "divided
government" such that the party of the Senate was different from that of the
House and the presidency.
Now, consider these hypothetical national election results in 2012:
-Romney wins the presidency.
-Republicans sustain a net loss in the House but retain majority control by
margin of roughly 230-205.
-Democrats sustain a net loss in the Senate but retain majority control by a
margin of 52-48 or 51-49.
(Granted, the probability that all three events occur together is small, but I
would argue that it is certainly nonnegligible.)
Questions for thought:
1) Given that he would hold the highest office among members of his party,
would Harry Reid be an effective national leader for the Democratic Party--from
a political perspective and a legislative perspective?
2) If Supreme Court Justice Ginsburg retired thereafter, how would the
unprecedented politics of partisanship in the Senate affect the ideological
spectrum from which Romney could choose a replacement nominee?
3) Would Romney be successful at navigating the political and legislative
realities of divided government, in general? (I'm reposting this question from
an old thread of mine, for what it's worth.)
4) What would be the future of PPACA?
I do think that it's worthwhile to note that the exception I mentioned above--
the 107th Congress--actually passed a substantial amount of legislation.
(I don't mean to comment on the quality of that legislation--only on the
volume thereof.)
visited to a degree on RHP, but I think it is an interesting and unusual
consideration of the U.S. political system worthy of its own thread.
Since 1900, there have been 23 sessions of Congress in which there was a
politically "divided government." In each of those cases but one, however, the
House party differed from that of the presidency and the Senate, or the party
of the House and the Senate differed from that of the presidency. In other
words, in only one case (107th Congress) was the breakdown of "divided
government" such that the party of the Senate was different from that of the
House and the presidency.
Now, consider these hypothetical national election results in 2012:
-Romney wins the presidency.
-Republicans sustain a net loss in the House but retain majority control by
margin of roughly 230-205.
-Democrats sustain a net loss in the Senate but retain majority control by a
margin of 52-48 or 51-49.
(Granted, the probability that all three events occur together is small, but I
would argue that it is certainly nonnegligible.)
Questions for thought:
1) Given that he would hold the highest office among members of his party,
would Harry Reid be an effective national leader for the Democratic Party--from
a political perspective and a legislative perspective?
2) If Supreme Court Justice Ginsburg retired thereafter, how would the
unprecedented politics of partisanship in the Senate affect the ideological
spectrum from which Romney could choose a replacement nominee?
3) Would Romney be successful at navigating the political and legislative
realities of divided government, in general? (I'm reposting this question from
an old thread of mine, for what it's worth.)
4) What would be the future of PPACA?
I do think that it's worthwhile to note that the exception I mentioned above--
the 107th Congress--actually passed a substantial amount of legislation.
(I don't mean to comment on the quality of that legislation--only on the
volume thereof.)