“Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation odds have reopened at -250, which translates to a 71.4% implied probability.
He is a +300 longshot to withdraw from SCOTUS consideration (25% chance).”
This is subject to change.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018
Originally posted by @js357Do the boys in the newsroom have a running bet?
“Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation odds have reopened at -250, which translates to a 71.4% implied probability.
He is a +300 longshot to withdraw from SCOTUS consideration (25% chance).”
This is subject to change.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018
Get the victim on the set, give us dirty laundry!
He can do the innuendo, he can dance and sing,
and when he gets done he hasn't told you a thing.
He's well aware that c-rp is king, give us dirty laundry!
Kick em when their up, kick em when their down...
π
Originally posted by @mchillCarp is king?
Do the boys in the newsroom have a running bet?
Get the victim on the set, give us dirty laundry!
He can do the innuendo, he can dance and sing,
and when he gets done he hasn't told you a thing.
He's well aware that c-rp is king, give us dirty laundry!
Kick em when their up, kick em when their down...
π
Originally posted by @js357It is more like 90% confirmation. Anita Hill did not wait nearly as long and Clarence Thomas was confirmed.
“Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation odds have reopened at -250, which translates to a 71.4% implied probability.
He is a +300 longshot to withdraw from SCOTUS consideration (25% chance).”
This is subject to change.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018
I'm not even convinced K is a good pick to be honest. Seems like his job was to pretend to investigate Vince Foster's death and cover it up.
Originally posted by @js357This site has Kavanaugh's chances at only 56%. https://www.predictit.org/Browse/Group/39/Supreme-Court
“Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation odds have reopened at -250, which translates to a 71.4% implied probability.
He is a +300 longshot to withdraw from SCOTUS consideration (25% chance).”
This is subject to change.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018