Debates Forum

Debates Forum

  1. Joined
    29 Dec '08
    Moves
    6788
    22 Sep '18 16:131 edit
    “Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation odds have reopened at -250, which translates to a 71.4% implied probability.
    He is a +300 longshot to withdraw from SCOTUS consideration (25% chance).”

    This is subject to change.

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018
  2. Behind the scenes
    Joined
    27 Jun '16
    Moves
    1407
    22 Sep '18 17:42
    Originally posted by @js357
    “Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation odds have reopened at -250, which translates to a 71.4% implied probability.
    He is a +300 longshot to withdraw from SCOTUS consideration (25% chance).”

    This is subject to change.

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018
    Do the boys in the newsroom have a running bet?
    Get the victim on the set, give us dirty laundry!

    He can do the innuendo, he can dance and sing,
    and when he gets done he hasn't told you a thing.
    He's well aware that c-rp is king, give us dirty laundry!

    Kick em when their up, kick em when their down...

    😀
  3. SubscriberSuzianne
    Misfit Queen
    Isle of Misfit Toys
    Joined
    08 Aug '03
    Moves
    35850
    22 Sep '18 23:10
    Originally posted by @mchill
    Do the boys in the newsroom have a running bet?
    Get the victim on the set, give us dirty laundry!

    He can do the innuendo, he can dance and sing,
    and when he gets done he hasn't told you a thing.
    He's well aware that c-rp is king, give us dirty laundry!

    Kick em when their up, kick em when their down...

    😀
    Carp is king?
  4. Joined
    07 Dec '05
    Moves
    14745
    22 Sep '18 23:18
    Originally posted by @js357
    “Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation odds have reopened at -250, which translates to a 71.4% implied probability.
    He is a +300 longshot to withdraw from SCOTUS consideration (25% chance).”

    This is subject to change.

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018
    It is more like 90% confirmation. Anita Hill did not wait nearly as long and Clarence Thomas was confirmed.

    I'm not even convinced K is a good pick to be honest. Seems like his job was to pretend to investigate Vince Foster's death and cover it up.
  5. Behind the scenes
    Joined
    27 Jun '16
    Moves
    1407
    23 Sep '18 00:02
    Originally posted by @suzianne
    Carp is king?
    See Don Henley - Dirty laundry. I'm trying to keep the language proper for mixed company. 🙂
  6. Subscriberno1marauder
    Humble and Kind
    In the Gazette
    Joined
    22 Jun '04
    Moves
    39965
    23 Sep '18 01:14
    Originally posted by @js357
    “Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation odds have reopened at -250, which translates to a 71.4% implied probability.
    He is a +300 longshot to withdraw from SCOTUS consideration (25% chance).”

    This is subject to change.

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018
    This site has Kavanaugh's chances at only 56%. https://www.predictit.org/Browse/Group/39/Supreme-Court
  7. SubscriberSuzianne
    Misfit Queen
    Isle of Misfit Toys
    Joined
    08 Aug '03
    Moves
    35850
    23 Sep '18 01:51
    Originally posted by @mchill
    See Don Henley - Dirty laundry. I'm trying to keep the language proper for mixed company. 🙂
    I'm just ribbing you, man. I'm familiar with the song.
  8. Standard memberchaney3
    Bring it on.......
    Joined
    26 Dec '14
    Moves
    29912
    23 Sep '18 02:02
    Originally posted by @mchill
    See Don Henley - Dirty laundry. I'm trying to keep the language proper for mixed company. 🙂
    "We all know that Kraft is king".

    It's Kraft, not crap. Referring to a newswoman who was fired because she wasn't pretty enough.
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