1. e4
    Joined
    06 May '08
    Moves
    42492
    22 Oct '14 18:58
    I've placed £5.00 on Annad and have the betting slip to prove it.

    Some thoughts (not that many, it's time for you to add yours)
    on the coming World Championship Match. I complain about the
    venue and a glorious missed opportunity regarding two venues.

    I have used a couple of Maggie and Vishy's games to replicate some RHP
    blunders and have a couple of Archangels for the lovers of this defence.

    Blog 4
  2. santa cruz, ca.
    Joined
    19 Jul '13
    Moves
    376505
    22 Oct '14 20:21
    I hope you got a good priceπŸ™„
  3. e4
    Joined
    06 May '08
    Moves
    42492
    22 Oct '14 20:31
    Hi Lemon Drop.

    You will see the proof slip on the blog, I got 11/4 - this will give me £18.74.

    With it I will be able to buy the book of the match and a packet of crisps.
  4. santa cruz, ca.
    Joined
    19 Jul '13
    Moves
    376505
    22 Oct '14 21:10
    Originally posted by greenpawn34
    Hi Lemon Drop.

    You will see the proof slip on the blog, I got 11/4 - this will give me £18.74.

    With it I will be able to buy the book of the match and a packet of crisps.
    I will root for the upset
    enjoy the book
  5. Joined
    24 Aug '07
    Moves
    48477
    22 Oct '14 21:301 edit
    Originally posted by greenpawn34
    I've placed £5.00 on Annad and have the betting slip to prove it.

    Some thoughts (not that many, it's time for you to add yours)
    on the coming World Championship Match. I complain about the
    venue and a glorious missed opportunity regarding two venues.

    I have used a couple of Maggie and Vishy's games to replicate some RHP
    blunders and have a couple of Archangels for the lovers of this defence.

    Blog 4
    Someone with math skills should look at this.

    I was wondering if you should bet 5 on Magnus too.

    The most you could lose would be 3.75 and your gain would be cut to 8.74.

    This way you can lose 5 for a gain of 13.74.

    Mathematically, are you supposed to bet on both (and root for Anand)?

    My mind is mush right now, so someone else will have to work it out.

    Do you just divide 8.74 by 3.75 - and 13.74 by 5? If so, the pay out looks better to only bet on one. --- I need sleep.
  6. Joined
    24 Aug '07
    Moves
    48477
    22 Oct '14 21:39
    Originally posted by paulbuchmanfromfics
    Someone with math skills should look at this.

    I was wondering if you should bet 5 on Magnus too.

    The most you could lose would be 3.75 and your gain would be cut to 8.74.

    This way you can lose 5 for a gain of 13.74.

    Mathematically, are you supposed to bet on both (and root for Anand)?

    My mind is mush right now, so someone el ...[text shortened]... 3.75 - and 13.74 by 5? If so, the pay out looks better to only bet on one. --- I need sleep.
    On second thought, I shouldn't double guess the odds makers. They know what they are doing!
  7. santa cruz, ca.
    Joined
    19 Jul '13
    Moves
    376505
    22 Oct '14 22:271 edit
    Originally posted by paulbuchmanfromfics
    On second thought, I shouldn't double guess the odds makers. They know what they are doing!
    the house always protects itself against betting both sides
    11/4 price on Anand would probably mean laying more than 4/1 if betting Carlson
  8. Standard memberSchlecter
    The King of Board
    Solar System
    Joined
    09 Feb '13
    Moves
    31423
    22 Oct '14 23:58
    For sure Carlsen is going to win again and again.....

    We need Caruana instead of anand....

    My Money on Carlsen
  9. Standard memberDeepThought
    Losing the Thread
    Quarantined World
    Joined
    27 Oct '04
    Moves
    87415
    23 Oct '14 00:51
    Originally posted by paulbuchmanfromfics
    On second thought, I shouldn't double guess the odds makers. They know what they are doing!
    No, based on the figures GP gave he should bet on both sides as it minimises his potential loss. Also the odds aren't necessarily from the same bookie. Arbitrage is possible here maybe.
  10. e4
    Joined
    06 May '08
    Moves
    42492
    23 Oct '14 12:55
    The odds on Carlsen are worth it if you have a spare £10,000.
    At 1-4 You will get back £12.500 a profit of £2,500.

    I fear I may be leading you all astray.
    Next blog I'll teach you how put on a five hore accumulator
    and how to roll a cigarette.

    CHESS:

    I've seen quite a few posts on chessgames.com saying it
    should be Caruana instead of Anand. Fair enough, but
    Anand is there on merit. He won the Challengers.
    Caruana's day will come but he has to earn the right.

    If, per chance, Anand wins the title back. The next challengers will include Carlsen.
  11. SubscriberPaul Leggett
    Chess Librarian
    The Stacks
    Joined
    21 Aug '09
    Moves
    113545
    25 Oct '14 03:04
    Interesting betting info aside in this thread, the chess that follows in the blog is excellent and well worth anyone's time.
  12. Joined
    10 May '12
    Moves
    18494
    25 Oct '14 15:45
    Good bet
  13. Subscribersonhouse
    Fast and Curious
    slatington, pa, usa
    Joined
    28 Dec '04
    Moves
    53223
    26 Oct '14 22:24
    Originally posted by greenpawn34
    I've placed £5.00 on Annad and have the betting slip to prove it.

    Some thoughts (not that many, it's time for you to add yours)
    on the coming World Championship Match. I complain about the
    venue and a glorious missed opportunity regarding two venues.

    I have used a couple of Maggie and Vishy's games to replicate some RHP
    blunders and have a couple of Archangels for the lovers of this defence.

    Blog 4
    Don't know if Anand got over the intimidation factor, which he suffered from in the first match. It will be good for chess if he does overcome that fear.
  14. Standard memberMarinkatomb
    wotagr8game
    tbc
    Joined
    18 Feb '04
    Moves
    61941
    10 Nov '14 18:081 edit
    Originally posted by greenpawn34
    I've placed £5.00 on Annad and have the betting slip to prove it.

    Some thoughts (not that many, it's time for you to add yours)
    on the coming World Championship Match. I complain about the
    venue and a glorious missed opportunity regarding two venues.

    I have used a couple of Maggie and Vishy's games to replicate some RHP
    blunders and have a couple of Archangels for the lovers of this defence.

    Blog 4
    How's that fiver looking GP? Maybe Anand is taking a leaf out of Mohammed Ali's book and is planning to 'Rope'a dope' young Magnus 'Foreman' Carlsen into a 12 round knock out?? πŸ˜›
  15. Subscribersonhouse
    Fast and Curious
    slatington, pa, usa
    Joined
    28 Dec '04
    Moves
    53223
    10 Nov '14 18:562 edits
    Originally posted by Marinkatomb
    How's that fiver looking GP? Maybe Anand is taking a leaf out of Mohammed Ali's book and is planning to 'Rope'a dope' young Magnus 'Foreman' Carlsen into a 12 round knock out?? πŸ˜›
    When is game 3? Found it, Nov 11, 3 PM Moscow time. I think that is 7 AM EST and maybe noon GMT.
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