08 Aug 06
1 edit
Originally posted by 7ate9usually when you go up you start playing better opponents, also people have a tendancy to build up losing games so you go up after a few consecutive wins and then go down when the losses all come in.
i've noticed that chess graphs commonly get drawn in waves as one is improving their rating... and also decreasing (if not a cliff). it seems logical that one should layoff at those peaks and play more often from the dips to obtain a nicer looking graph. personally i don't care that much and also enjoy playing at the worst of times as it gives me a better bott whatever? maybe it's a combination of a whole lot of factors? any studies been done on this?
08 Aug 06
Originally posted by 7ate9statistical variance. it takes only couple of games to drop you a 50 pts, or peak just as well. I usually look more at the average of the last 30-50 games.
i don't think playing better players would make much difference, unless it takes a while to get better than that level of opponent.
i find more often winning games build up when people move slower in a losing game, but in the six games i play these things aren't what makes the waves.
08 Aug 06
I've also been looking at them. I think that you can see what your progress trend is, by looking a the valleys between the mountains. I mean the inverted white peaks, not the green peaks. If you trace a line across your valleys, you could see a trend that will show you if your progress trend is up or down. My feeling is that your progress is not based on your peaks, but on your valleys. If my theory is ok, then the progress is based on reducing errors. Just a thought, but I'm sure there is a study on this.