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Northern Lad

Northern Lad

Only Chess

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Originally posted by CenterNut
he from the UK.. he got my support 😵
maybe you should also have a close look at archbold 😉
1 loss: Game 121723 only a timeout,

and
also beats webreaper rated 2123 Game 445513

and
beats The PO currently rated 2280 Game 340701

unfortunately no strong players seem to be playing archbold at the moment ... 🙄

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Originally posted by CenterNut
he from the UK.. he got my support 😵
Says he's got a 2200 FIDE Rating, so he's good. Any idea what IM's official rating is?

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I think its around 2400-2500 but not positive

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Northernlad has lost his 2nd game.

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Originally posted by buffalobill
Says he's got a 2200 FIDE Rating, so he's good. Any idea what IM's official rating is?
2450 with a norm

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So Northernlad has a GM norm?

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Originally posted by flexmore
what would northern lad's rating be if he repeated all the games he has played so far with the same results ... then repeated it all again and again, again?
would he be rated as high as ironman?

can this calculation be easily made by anyone?

what about trying the same with weyerstrass and akizy!

it would be interesting to see this calculation nex ...[text shortened]... yer in the top 40 players: ... what would their rating be if they repeated their last 300 games?
I just did a comparison between IronMan31 and Northern Lad, calculating their performance over each of their last 150 games. I took some liberties in preparing the data (it was far simpler to use their opponents current rating than the one used at game completion).

Northern Lad's 150 game performance is 2350
IronMan31's 150 game performance is 2496

Computing performance does not take into account *your* rating, only the result and the rating of your opponent.

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Originally posted by flexmore
maybe you should also have a close look at archbold 😉
1 loss: Game 121723 only a timeout,

and
also beats webreaper rated 2123 Game 445513

and
beats The PO currently rated 2280 Game 340701

unfortunately no strong players seem to be playing archbold at the moment ... 🙄
WOWWWWWWW good games

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Originally posted by RookRAK
I just did a comparison between IronMan31 and Northern Lad, calculating their performance over each of their last 150 games. I took some liberties in preparing the data (it was far simpler to use their opponents current rating than the one ...[text shortened]... t *your* rating, only the result and the rating of your opponent.
how about archbold if you get rid of the timeout?

- and akizy ?!

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Originally posted by flexmore
how about archbold if you get rid of the timeout?

- and akizy ?!
archbold has only 84 games. I threw out the one he lost via timeout, but his performance is 2183

I'll calculate akizy tomorrow

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Originally posted by RookRAK
I just did a comparison between IronMan31 and Northern Lad, calculating their performance over each of their last 150 games. I took some liberties in preparing the data (it was far simpler to use their opponents current rating than the one used at game completion).

Northern Lad's 150 game performance is 2350
IronMan31's 150 game performance is 2496
...[text shortened]... ance does not take into account *your* rating, only the result and the rating of your opponent.
well done thankyou for the calculations!

i am just wondering about your exact method ...

is it:
rating = ((Wav+ K)*Nw + Dav*Nd + (Lav-K)*Nl)/(Nw + Nd + Nl)

where:
Wav = average rating of players won against,
Dav = average rating of players drawn with,
Lav = average rating of players lost to,
and
Nw = number of players won against,
Nd = number of players drawn with,
Nl = number of players lost to.
and
K = constant >= 0.

?

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Originally posted by flexmore


i am just wondering about your exact method ...

is it:
rating = ((Wav+ K)*Nw + Dav*Nd + (Lav-K)*Nl)/(Nw + Nd + Nl)

?
Rather than use average ratings, I actually do the calculation for every game. Using an iterative method, I converge on the rating which produces the lowest total error.

I.e. For each iteration; for each game; I calculate:
error = actual performance - expected performance

I then sum the errors for all games, using that to generate the next "guess" at rating

There is no K-factor needed for calculating performance. K-factor only comes into play when you are actually modifying a rating.

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Originally posted by RookRAK
archbold has only 84 games. I threw out the one he lost via timeout, but his performance is 2183

I'll calculate akizy tomorrow
akizy's 150 game performance is an impressive 2492

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4 points below Ironman Impressive.

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Akizy, has scored a win and a draw against Ironman in 2 games, now thats impressive