Out of the billions of chess games played thoughout history there are a significant proportion of them where a pawn or pawns were promoted.
If you could take all these games and look at which pawn it was, statistically which one do you think was most commonly promoted.
Is this different for black/white?
I doubt it would be the d or e pawns because they often don't last to late-middle or endgame. Apart from that i can't think of any other factors affecting the probability of a certain pawn being promoted more than others....
What do you think?
Originally posted by David113I'd be interested to see if he can. I'm pretty sure I can't easily find the answer using Chessbase and its searches (which are normally sufficient to find most anything). I can find which square is the most promoted on but that doesn't tell me which spot the pawn started out on.
Try asking Tim Krabbe. He can find the answer in seconds using game databases and CQL (chess query language).
I would guess, the a,b,g and h-pawns because theyare usually ignored in the opening and middlegame, and the Kijng can easily help them push to the end, eg. Kb7 would ensure against a Kinga promotion for an a-pawn.
But that's just my humble opinion.
ALETHIA
PS. Xanthos, I love your profile and it's picture! Made me laugh.
Originally posted by AlethiaPossessive its doesn't need an apostrophe.
I would guess, the a,b,g and h-pawns because theyare usually ignored in the opening and middlegame, and the Kijng can easily help them push to the end, eg. Kb7 would ensure against a Kinga promotion for an a-pawn.
But that's just my humble opinion.
ALETHIA
PS. Xanthos, I love your profile and it's picture! Made me laugh.
Originally posted by XanthosNZWhich square is the most promoted on?
I'd be interested to see if he can. I'm pretty sure I can't easily find the answer using Chessbase and its searches (which are normally sufficient to find most anything). I can find which square is the most promoted on but that doesn't tell me which spot the pawn started out on.
Originally posted by StocktonUm, like we've been discussing, the square the promoted pawn starts on.
are you asking which pawn from the starting position? or which square the pawn promotes to. Example: if the a pawn captures (obviously to the b file) and promotes on b8 or b1
Maybe read the thread next time before jumping in, OK?
Originally posted by AThousandYoungI'd do more analysis (what does it look like in games with queenside vs. kingside vs. no castling) but the searches aren't very fast and it would be quite a number of queries.
Wow. That's fascinating. It's not symmetrical about the center but instead seems to be based on how far that file is from where the king goes when one castles kingside.
If I could find a way to automate the searches (so I could just leave my computer for a few hours and it would do all the searches) I'd do it.