@sonhouse saidIn fact the paper is presenting a very distinct model on a set of autocatalytic systems.
https://phys.org/news/2026-04-math-reveals-life-earth-primordial.html
Pegging the time when statistic says when the evolution of of life are ripe for molecular combinations to happen leading to life.
With the chosen set and some boundary condiitions the probabilty of the formation of a system of autocatalytic systems that would be stable to the given conditions would be quite high.
The paper https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/nmt5-qsym is not claiming what phys.org does.