https://phys.org/news/2025-02-scientists-earth-ice-age-orbital.html
Ice ages are predictable now and we are in the middle of an interglacial period called Holocene and if the coming ice age follows past ice ages, it is timed to go glacial in 10,000 years. That is what happened the last dozen times but now man made climate change may alter that, maybe no ice age at all? pushed another ten thousand years forward?
@sonhouse
Ice ages happen almost every 100,000 years. I think it will take longer than 10,000 years.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130807134127.htm
Barker is an idiot. He cannot even do basic math. He said the last glaciation was around 11,700 years ago. 11,700 + 10,000 = 21,700 and 100,000 - 21,700 = 78,300. Most of the global warming we are experiencing is natural. The volcanic winter of 536 caused global cooling and we are coming out of that cooling period often referred to as the mini ice age or little ice age which is not a real ice age.
The ice core samples proved temps caused CO2 levels to rise in the atmosphere, not the other way around as lying Al Gore told us. There is no evidence CO2 causes global warming in the atmosphere. Don't count on avoiding the next ice age.
@Metal-Brain saidAmazing how you now know SO much more than a working climate scientist.
@sonhouse
Ice ages happen almost every 100,000 years. I think it will take longer than 10,000 years.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130807134127.htm
Barker is an idiot. He cannot even do basic math. He said the last glaciation was around 11,700 years ago. 11,700 + 10,000 = 21,700 and 100,000 - 21,700 = 78,300. Most of the global warming we are ex ...[text shortened]... s no evidence CO2 causes global warming in the atmosphere. Don't count on avoiding the next ice age.
@Metal-Brain saidhttps://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adp3491
@sonhouse
Ice ages happen almost every 100,000 years. I think it will take longer than 10,000 years.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130807134127.htm
Barker is an idiot. He cannot even do basic math. He said the last glaciation was around 11,700 years ago. 11,700 + 10,000 = 21,700 and 100,000 - 21,700 = 78,300. Most of the global warming we are ex ...[text shortened]... s no evidence CO2 causes global warming in the atmosphere. Don't count on avoiding the next ice age.
This is the original paper. The first figure will clarify a lot of things if you look at it.
@Ponderable saidThat is a completely different writing that does not contain the figures in the article that son posted. I know the writer to both is said to be Barker, but the one son posted is full of BS incorrect math. I doubt the authenticity of the said author in that link. It is way too unprofessional compared to the one you posted.
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adp3491
This is the original paper. The first figure will clarify a lot of things if you look at it.
The math didn't add up in the article son posted. From my understanding we came out of an ice age fairly recently. There is no way we are due for another ice age in a mere 10,000 years. Did someone copy his paper and left out a zero?
@sonhouse saidDo the math yourself and show us your work. I did mine if you had bothered paying attention to it. The math is only 78,300 years off. LOL!
Amazing how you now know SO much more than a working climate scientist.
Perhaps it is not really the work of Barker. Did someone copy the article and omit a very important zero?
@Metal-Brain saidOh, so you know stuff Phd's don't. I guess you figure they would have NEVER noticed something like that because you figure you are THE most intelligent person on Earth and by god, those worthless so called scientists better frigging LISTEN TO ME because I KNOW EVERYTHING.
Do the math yourself and show us your work. I did mine if you had bothered paying attention to it. The math is only 78,300 years off. LOL!
Perhaps it is not really the work of Barker. Did someone copy the article and omit a very important zero?
@sonhouse saidDo the math yourself and show us your work. It doesn't add up and you know it. I am giving Barker the benefit of the doubt. I think it is possible someone lifted his work to copy and omitted a very important zero making 100,000 10,000. What do you think?
Oh, so you know stuff Phd's don't. I guess you figure they would have NEVER noticed something like that because you figure you are THE most intelligent person on Earth and by god, those worthless so called scientists better frigging LISTEN TO ME because I KNOW EVERYTHING.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130807134127.htm
@Metal-Brain said"We found a predictable pattern over the past million years for the timing of when Earth's climate changes between glacial 'ice ages' and mild warm periods like today, called interglacials," said co-author Lorraine Lisiecki, a professor in UCSB's Earth Science Department. One type of change in Earth's orbit was responsible for the end of ice ages, while another was associated with their return.
Do the math yourself and show us your work. It doesn't add up and you know it. I am giving Barker the benefit of the doubt. I think it is possible someone lifted his work to copy and omitted a very important zero making 100,000 10,000. What do you think?
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130807134127.htm
Lets see your rebuttal, not words, but experimental verification you are right and Lorraine is wrong.
@sonhouse saidThere is nothing wrong in that statement. As I already said your link contained the wrong math. Once again, did someone forget an important zero?
"We found a predictable pattern over the past million years for the timing of when Earth's climate changes between glacial 'ice ages' and mild warm periods like today, called interglacials," said co-author Lorraine Lisiecki, a professor in UCSB's Earth Science Department. One type of change in Earth's orbit was responsible for the end of ice ages, while another was associate ...[text shortened]... ets see your rebuttal, not words, but experimental verification you are right and Lorraine is wrong.
100,000 years just as I already told you. That is how long the cycle is.
Don't you pay any attention? Again, do the math and show your work.
From my link below that I already posted for you:
"Ice ages and warm periods have alternated fairly regularly in Earth's history: Earth's climate cools roughly every 100,000 years"
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130807134127.htm#google_vignette
The math in your link is WRONG!
@Metal-Brain saidI'll be sure to tell the Nobel committee about your work.
There is nothing wrong in that statement. As I already said your link contained the wrong math. Once again, did someone forget an important zero?
100,000 years just as I already told you. That is how long the cycle is.
Don't you pay any attention? Again, do the math and show your work.
@Metal-Brain saidyou are acting like we are both scientists? Where did you get your Phd?
Don't you pay any attention?
Again, do the math and show your work.
@sonhouse saidYou are acting as if you cannot do basic math.
you are acting like we are both scientists? Where did you get your Phd?
Here is an excerpt from the link from your OP:
"Earth entered an era marked by successive ice ages and interglacial periods, emerging from the last glaciation around 11,700 years ago. A new analysis suggests the onset of the next ice age could be expected in 10,000 years' time."
11,700 + 10,000 = 21,700
Ice ages happen every 100,000 years, not every 21,700 years.
A child from grade school could figure out that does not add up. Can you?
Just acknowledge that the University of CA- Santa Barbara screwed up. They misrepresented Barker's work. Barker's paper in the journal of science does not have that obviously flawed math. Read it yourself.
https://phys.org/news/2025-02-scientists-earth-ice-age-orbital.html#google_vignette
@Metal-Brain saidShow me your Phd in atmospheric science and maybe I would believe you.
You are acting as if you cannot do basic math.
Here is an excerpt from the link from your OP:
"Earth entered an era marked by successive ice ages and interglacial periods, emerging from the last glaciation around 11,700 years ago. A new analysis suggests the onset of the next ice age could be expected in 10,000 years' time."
11,700 + 10,000 = 21,700
Ice ages ...[text shortened]... it yourself.
https://phys.org/news/2025-02-scientists-earth-ice-age-orbital.html#google_vignette