Your bold 2005 championship predictions. . .

Your bold 2005 championship predictions. . .

Tournaments

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T
Total Domination

Wilmington, NC

Joined
11 Jul 04
Moves
24569
06 Jan 05

Originally posted by Dustnrogers
Ill put my money on UncleAdam!!!! 😉😀
I'm for him too

D
Canada'sChamp

Calgary Alberta

Joined
29 Jan 02
Moves
155663
06 Jan 05

SO its settled!!!! Lets GO UNCLEADAM, if he cant do it, just keep playing chess and hopefully none of the top 20 will win the tourney lol!! YAY!!!

CS

Joined
05 Dec 04
Moves
8732
07 Jan 05

Sorry, dustnrogers, I decided to drop out of one of my tournaments because these games are taking a toll on me. I decided PI Banded 1500-1599... because I wanted to challenge myself in the Modi Grouped Random. Well, we're still in the Mimir Grouped Random so maybe we'll meet there. But good luck in the tournament and I hope you kick butt.

D
Canada'sChamp

Calgary Alberta

Joined
29 Jan 02
Moves
155663
07 Jan 05

thanks! good luck in your tournies!

Chessaholics!!

Sunny California

Joined
26 Nov 02
Moves
310252
07 Jan 05

This is my group:
Talem16 1884 Hihgest rating (1884)
Prax946 1589 (1613)
Rambo71 1136 (1246)
revmar 1321 (1380)
Kingo2000 1620 (1683)
Stearnsc 1241 (1268)
Croc 1116 (1237)
Von bilin 1381 (1383)
dlowe 1297 (1318)
anom-asil 1668 (1701)
marsdog 1643 (1643)
kyngj 1367 (1367)

I consider my hard riva anom-asil because heor she has beat me. +(*!*)+.

f
Quack Quack Quack !

Chesstralia

Joined
18 Aug 03
Moves
54533
07 Jan 05
3 edits

SteveC 's first round:
1866 ivanhoe
1831 David G
1252 moscow23
1237 dcd111
1567 DeepThought
1520 dwchess
1472 Faith No More
1180 pparrish
1316 headsy
853 omnislash
1534 flexmore

steve is rated 1900 and something, but has been over 2100 before some time outs.

c
Blogger

clausjensen.com

Joined
13 Jul 04
Moves
52666
07 Jan 05

Originally posted by Dustnrogers
Ill put my money on UncleAdam!!!! 😉😀
Count me in!

L

Amsterdam

Joined
26 Jan 03
Moves
27540
09 Jan 05

We can never predict the final group size, scince more that one contestant can make it trough to the second round.

O.

f
Quack Quack Quack !

Chesstralia

Joined
18 Aug 03
Moves
54533
10 Jan 05
5 edits

Originally posted by LivingLegend
We can never predict the final group size, scince more that one contestant can make it trough to the second round.

O.
with smaller group sizes it is more likely to have a tie.
also higher rated players draw often, so ties are slightly more likely.

the worst thing we can have is a tie in the last round ... then the 2005 championship is actually played in 2006 ... with just groupsize 2 between very strong players ... with another tie very likely ... and may carry on for years .... and years.

so we very much do want a largeish groupsize in the last round.

unfortunately, if the second round is also groupsize 12 then we will only have 3 or 4 players in the final round ... and a tie will be quite likely.

possible fixes include:
1/ if the top two progress from this round then we have about 80 in the second round, and then 7 or 8 in the final.
or
2/ top two progress from the second round, with 7 or 8 in the final.
or
3/ group size 6 in the second round would also give about groupsize 7 in the final round.

i would prefer option 1 to maintain the player pool, but option 3 is probably simpler for russ to arrange, and would still work well.

in all these cases it would not be a problem if there were a couple of extra ties in the preliminaries because the groupsize in the final would only jump from 7 to 9 or 10 ... still acceptable ... very desirable in fact.

t
I finally subscribed

Joined
13 Nov 04
Moves
10499
24 Jan 05

Here's my group.
fat mans revenge(1214)
mrmist(1262)
jarryd(1414)
IMOllie(1518)
dfazman (1387)
Varg(1553)
julian teni(1143)
BTBasham(1073)
awrightus(2038)
Phredward(1180)
LittleTimmy(1361)

and me(1406)

f
Quack Quack Quack !

Chesstralia

Joined
18 Aug 03
Moves
54533
09 Feb 05
1 edit

my new predictions:

Ironman31 (highest rated player in tournament)
Northern Lad (highest rated unbeaten player in tournament),
Perrys and mistsplicer (have both won all games played so far on rhp)

if i had to pick one ... then ironman31 is of course the choice ... he is more or less unbeaten anyway.

R
Acts 13:48

California

Joined
21 May 03
Moves
227331
16 Feb 05
1 edit

Originally posted by mateulose
I'm going to go all out, risk total scrutiny and mockery, and claim for the first time ever, Ironman will finally lose a tourney, and this will be it, his time has come, lol!

No seriously, and what makes me state this bold prediction? ...[text shortened]... elf), so I hope Trackhead doesn't cheat and he can pull this off.

R
Acts 13:48

California

Joined
21 May 03
Moves
227331
01 Mar 05

I can time people out in about 7 days from now.