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Abundance of Caution??? WTF?

Abundance of Caution??? WTF?

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sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/johnson-johnson-vaccine-should-be-paused-u-s-after-extremely-n1263898

The Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a statement saying they were "recommending a pause in the use of this vaccine out of an abundance of caution."


Let's assume, arguendo, that ALL 6 clotting episodes were caused by the vaccine (not at all clear, but let's assume).

That's still LESS THAN ONE IN ONE MILLION!

All we hear out of the CDC is that the more infections, the more variants and how we have to remain vigilant until we can control COVID with the vaccines and scary new variants and the B.1.17 monster, SA, Brazilian, etc. etc., ad nauseum.

But all of these awesome reasons we need to stamp out COVID aren't worth allowing people to VOLUNTARILY assume a risk that is less than 1 in 1,000,000???

Somebody defend this. I'm curious.

Mott The Hoople

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@sh76 said
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/johnson-johnson-vaccine-should-be-paused-u-s-after-extremely-n1263898

The Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a statement saying they were "recommending a pause in the use of this vaccine out of an abundance of caution."


Let's assume, arguendo, that ALL 6 clotting episode ...[text shortened]... VOLUNTARILY assume a risk that is less than 1 in 1,000,000???

Somebody defend this. I'm curious.
still waiting for someone to defend allowing people from all over the world to freely walk into our country

D

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q

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@sh76 said
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/johnson-johnson-vaccine-should-be-paused-u-s-after-extremely-n1263898

The Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a statement saying they were "recommending a pause in the use of this vaccine out of an abundance of caution."


Let's assume, arguendo, that ALL 6 clotting episode ...[text shortened]... VOLUNTARILY assume a risk that is less than 1 in 1,000,000???

Somebody defend this. I'm curious.
When people grossly overestimate low probability events, they often make terrible decisions. If 300 people in the US got blood clots but no one else died from COVID it would indisputably be an excellent trade off.

mchill
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@sh76 said
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/johnson-johnson-vaccine-should-be-paused-u-s-after-extremely-n1263898

The Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a statement saying they were "recommending a pause in the use of this vaccine out of an abundance of caution."


Let's assume, arguendo, that ALL 6 clotting episode ...[text shortened]... VOLUNTARILY assume a risk that is less than 1 in 1,000,000???

Somebody defend this. I'm curious.
Somebody defend this. I'm curious.


I don't get it either, but since this is roughly a once in a century event, one must expect some (less than) intelligent choices along the way.

no1marauder
Naturally Right

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@sh76 said
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/johnson-johnson-vaccine-should-be-paused-u-s-after-extremely-n1263898

The Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a statement saying they were "recommending a pause in the use of this vaccine out of an abundance of caution."


Let's assume, arguendo, that ALL 6 clotting episode ...[text shortened]... VOLUNTARILY assume a risk that is less than 1 in 1,000,000???

Somebody defend this. I'm curious.
I'm fine with it. There are available substitutes for the J and J vaccine that do not pose the health risk it does. A pause to better assess its effectiveness v. its dangers seems quite prudent under the circumstances.

EDIT: There's an emergency meeting tomorrow at the CDC to decide whether to continue the pause.https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-04-13/us-urge-pause-johnson-covid-vaccine-blood-clot-concerns

Surely a one day pause to evaluate the data is eminently reasonable.

bunnyknight
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@sh76
My uncle is in the business of Checkers and he says: "There were reports that 3 people so far have gotten blood clots while playing chess. However, there is no clear evidence yet that chess causes blood clots. Until there is absolute scientific proof that chess causes blood clots there is probably no cause to be alarmed."

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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@no1marauder said
I'm fine with it. There are available substitutes for the J and J vaccine that do not pose the health risk it does. A pause to better assess its effectiveness v. its dangers seems quite prudent under the circumstances.

EDIT: There's an emergency meeting tomorrow at the CDC to decide whether to continue the pause.https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-04-13/us- ...[text shortened]... -vaccine-blood-clot-concerns

Surely a one day pause to evaluate the data is eminently reasonable.
If all the pause lasts is one day, I'll partially withdraw my criticism.

I sincerely hope to do so.

If it lasts a few weeks, hundreds of additional people will likely contract COVID to avoid a 1-in-a-million chance of blood clotting.

That's not a great trade-off.

s
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@Mott-The-Hoople
Well sure, we should make room for all 8 billion of us.

sh76
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The post that was quoted here has been removed
I agree that the banning of British beef was overkill and probably silly.

But at least that was just beef. Nobody died due to lack of beef, even in the wake of Katrina.

shavixmir
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@mott-the-hoople said
still waiting for someone to defend allowing people from all over the world to freely walk into our country
Yah, that’s what the Indians said too.

s
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@Duchess64
Yeah, it HAS to be because of possible litigation.

It COULD NOT be just to get to the bottom of the issue and fix the clotting problem?

Nah, it HAS to be because we care so less about people we ONLY care if we get sued.

Sure, that's the ticket.

no1marauder
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@sh76 said
If all the pause lasts is one day, I'll partially withdraw my criticism.

I sincerely hope to do so.

If it lasts a few weeks, hundreds of additional people will likely contract COVID to avoid a 1-in-a-million chance of blood clotting.

That's not a great trade-off.
Absurd. That assumes that there are no easily available replacements for the J and J vaccine when there are in fact two. And J and J has been used in less than 4% of total vaccinations in the US.

The company recently spoiled 15 million doses of its vaccine with apparently little effect on the rapidly increasing number of daily vaccinations in the US.

Again, I'll leave it to the CDC to make such determinations weighing all such factors rather than ill-informed internet posters.

AThousandYoung
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@sh76 said
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/johnson-johnson-vaccine-should-be-paused-u-s-after-extremely-n1263898

The Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a statement saying they were "recommending a pause in the use of this vaccine out of an abundance of caution."


Let's assume, arguendo, that ALL 6 clotting episode ...[text shortened]... VOLUNTARILY assume a risk that is less than 1 in 1,000,000???

Somebody defend this. I'm curious.
Antivaxxers need to be appeased

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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@no1marauder said
Absurd. That assumes that there are no easily available replacements for the J and J vaccine when there are in fact two. And J and J has been used in less than 4% of total vaccinations in the US.

The company recently spoiled 15 million doses of its vaccine with apparently little effect on the rapidly increasing number of daily vaccinations in the US.

Again, I'll lea ...[text shortened]... CDC to make such determinations weighing all such factors rather than ill-informed internet posters.
What's absurd is to assume that ever missed J&J vaccine will be replaced by an mRNA one. There are major vaccine sites that are distributing J&J and it will be a while before they can get shipments of other doses. At 7 million doses, J&J is averaging close to a million doses a week. A weeks-long hiatus will likely mean hundreds of thousands of fewer vaccinations.

The CDC has hardly been infallible and this overly conservative decision is consistent with the outsized importance it gives to CYA messaging and action.

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