I know this discussion is unoriginal, but perhaps in the context of the United States’
potentially imminent default it might deserve reconsideration.
Should the U.S. adopt a balanced-budget amendment?
I don’t think the proposition is unreasonable so long as provisions for
extraordinary circumstances exist such that a congressional supermajority could
overrule the requirement. Our current debt-ceiling approach is effectively a
balanced-budget amendment that Congress has shifted out trillions of dollars in
the red.
Again, I think that the consideration of a balanced-budget amendment could be
potential common ground for both parties in budget talks, especially if it shifted the
dangerous consequences of congressional deadlock away from default and toward
the shorter-term shutdowns that the government has struggled with. It would also
seemingly legitimize arguments to support tax increases and spending decreases
equally.
Thoughts?
Originally posted by wittywonkaNobody who has taken a basic macroeconomics course would agree to such an amendment. Deficit spending is sometimes good for the economy, and to deny such a huge fiscal tool during recessions by Constitutional amendment based upon what seems like common sense but would actually be hugely detrimental would be more than wrong. It would be incredibly stupid.
I know this discussion is unoriginal, but perhaps in the context of the United States’
potentially imminent default it might deserve reconsideration.
Should the U.S. adopt a balanced-budget amendment?
I don’t think the proposition is unreasonable so long as provisions for
extraordinary circumstances exist such that a congressional supermajority co ...[text shortened]... ngly legitimize arguments to support tax increases and spending decreases
equally.
Thoughts?
Originally posted by KunsooOf course borrowing $144 000 000 every hour is not detrimental at all.
Nobody who has taken a basic macroeconomics course would agree to such an amendment. Deficit spending is sometimes good for the economy, and to deny such a huge fiscal tool during recessions by Constitutional amendment based upon what seems like common sense but would actually be hugely detrimental would be more than wrong. It would be incredibly stupid.
Originally posted by KunsooI agree; that's why I think such an amendment is only legitimate with the existence of a clause to allow for certain exceptions. I specifically had in mind times of economic decline and times of war.
Deficit spending is sometimes good for the economy [...] to deny such a huge fiscal tool during recessions by Constitutional amendment [...] would be incredibly stupid.
I think Congress' (seemingly only recently acquired) disinclination to spur economic recovery through deficit spending is more reflective of individual legislators' poor judgments than of those of Congress or the country as a whole.
Originally posted by AThousandYoungI'm not quite sure I understand what you mean, but I would imagine that such an amendment would probably only go up for state-wide ratification by next November. I don't think it would "interfere" in the current default crisis except to suggest that mutual agreement exists in Congress about serious deficit reduction.
I don't think now is the time to experiment with how such an Amendment would work under exceptional circumstances.
Originally posted by wittywonkaAlthough someone from the GOP will undoubtingly propose a balanced buget Amendment, neither party wants anyone to tell them what they can spend and what they can't. They have no constraints on their powers so why start now? Any proposed Amendment is just smoke and mirrors to make us think someone in government gives a damn.
I know this discussion is unoriginal, but perhaps in the context of the United States’
potentially imminent default it might deserve reconsideration.
Should the U.S. adopt a balanced-budget amendment?
I don’t think the proposition is unreasonable so long as provisions for
extraordinary circumstances exist such that a congressional supermajority co ...[text shortened]... ngly legitimize arguments to support tax increases and spending decreases
equally.
Thoughts?
So all you Dick Cheney fans who think that deficits don't matter, enjoy the show!!
Originally posted by whodeyAs usual, you sound incredibly fatalistic.
Although someone from the GOP will undoubtingly propose a balanced buget Amendment, neither party wants anyone to tell them what they can spend and what they can't. They have no constraints on their powers so why start now? Any proposed Amendment is just smoke and mirrors to make us think someone in government gives a damn.
So all you Dick Cheney fans who think that deficits don't matter, enjoy the show!!
Are you convinced that only Congressional action exactly within your ideological definition of "acceptable" demonstrates that certain legislators actually care?
Originally posted by wittywonkaI don't like the supermajority override provision, but that's because I am generally against legislation by supermajority rule; it being really, legislation by minority rule. (Constitutional amendments excepted; I like the current system for them.)
I know this discussion is unoriginal, but perhaps in the context of the United States’
potentially imminent default it might deserve reconsideration.
Should the U.S. adopt a balanced-budget amendment?
I don’t think the proposition is unreasonable so long as provisions for
extraordinary circumstances exist such that a congressional supermajority co ...[text shortened]... ngly legitimize arguments to support tax increases and spending decreases
equally.
Thoughts?
One idea would be to link a simple majority override with, say, a declaration of national emergency by the Executive.
How is the creation of debt to be limited in the amendment? That is, budgets can be balanced by funding current costs with current taxes, or by creating debt, which is funding current costs with future taxes. Will creating debt be limited, such as to the above mentioned declaration of national emergency and projects that can properly be thought of as capital, amortizable costs? Will a recession be declarable as a national emergency?
Also, check out
http://home.olemiss.edu/~gg/paperhtm/blncbdgt.htm
Originally posted by JS357
Thanks for posting that link; it’s a good first read for considering the issues in a little more depth. I guess the most potentially alarming fact about the states’ balanced-budget amendments is their means of circumventing deficit reduction requirements altogether (in times that aren’t “emergencies” ). I don’t really know enough about economics to appreciate what safeguards would be required to prevent the same types of behavior at the federal level, but I think that even in a constitutional amendment, policy specificity would be necessary and could be beneficial***. In particular, I wouldn’t want to see the government try to avoid costs by simply delegating out expenses to states (it’s not like that doesn’t already happen enough).
I did think it was funny that some proponents apparently argue that under the restriction of a balanced-budget amendment, the federal government should be able to generate surplus “rainy-day” funds. I’m not that naïve... ๐
One idea would be to link a simple majority override with, say, a declaration of national emergency by the Executive.
With regards to responding to natural disasters, I think your kind of exception would be reasonable, simply because I think responding to a terrorist attack or to hurricane devastation is (at least initially) apolitical. With regards to responding to economic decline, though, I think that there should be a means of bypassing the Executive (perhaps yet with a Congressional supermajority, or even with the recommendation of some sort of independent economic advisory council), because Republicans’ and Democrats’ economic ideologies are typically so polarized that it wouldn’t be hard to imagine a circumstance when the president would be stubborn even when deficit spending were legitimately indicated. An exception for times of war is also probably necessary, but would also be too sensitive to politics, in my opinion, to hinge on the decision of the president. Not to mention the fact that when wars last for entire decades, deficit spending can add up quickly...
How is the creation of debt to be limited in the amendment?
I’m not entirely sure if I understand your question. I understand a “balanced-budget amendment,” by definition, to mean that for any given fiscal year, government expenditures do not exceed government revenues.
_____
***Edit:
Wikipedia tells me that Switzerland and Germany both have "balanced-budget" amendments, too, but a look at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_external_debt shows that neither country has a particularly promising short-term debt outlook. Admittedly, Germany only passed its amendment recently, but still, I think this simply underscores the necessity for proper enforcement measures.
Originally posted by wittywonkaI'm convinced that both parties share certain agendas. Here are a few examples of how both parties have either ignored or gone after certain issues when in power had the chance to change them. They are:
As usual, you sound incredibly fatalistic.
Are you convinced that only Congressional action exactly within your ideological definition of "acceptable" demonstrates that certain legislators actually care?
1. Imperalistic conquest of middle eastern countries.
2. Ignoring illegal immigration
3. Continuance of out of control deficit spending.
4. Increasing the size and scope and power of government.
5. Promotion of massive entitlements. Hearing the likes of someone like Newt Genrich defend voting for "W"'s drugs for seniors is a real hoot.
Originally posted by wittywonkaSuggest a spending reduction that is more than 1% of the budget would be a nice start.
With regards to the budget, specifically: what would Congress have to do to convince you that at least come legislators actually care about serious long-term deficit reduction?
Originally posted by wittywonkaMe: How is the creation of debt to be limited in the amendment?
Originally posted by JS357
Thanks for posting that link; it’s a good first read for considering the issues in a little more depth. I guess the most potentially alarming fact about the states’ balanced-budget amendments is their means of circumventing deficit reduction requirements altogether (in times that aren’t “emergencies” ). I don’ ...[text shortened]... tly, but still, I think this simply underscores the necessity for proper enforcement measures.
You: I’m not entirely sure if I understand your question. I understand a “balanced-budget amendment,” by definition, to mean that for any given fiscal year, government expenditures do not exceed government revenues.
All good, but I mean, selling government bonds, T-bills, etc. I can say more, but hope that will suffice. They commit the government to repay from revenues, whether by taxes, fees, of whatever. Should all such instruments be revenue bonds? Otherwise we commit future generations to pay what we spend, hopefully on their behalf.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revenue_bond
Originally posted by wittywonkaIt's a great idea.
I know this discussion is unoriginal, but perhaps in the context of the United States’
potentially imminent default it might deserve reconsideration.
Should the U.S. adopt a balanced-budget amendment?
I don’t think the proposition is unreasonable so long as provisions for
extraordinary circumstances exist such that a congressional supermajority co ...[text shortened]... ngly legitimize arguments to support tax increases and spending decreases
equally.
Thoughts?
We've managed to achieve a level of debt vs. GDP that has not been seen since WWII -- when there actually WAS a good argument for deficit spending. We paid off the entire debt for WWII off within 10 years or so.
So what is our excuse today? What crisis are we facing? We aren't under attack, we aren't threatened. There are a few speculators out there running wild with a lot of money they don't know what to do with, but if we would let them take their lumps and get castrated from time to time (instead of giving in to their whining about 'too big to fail'๐, they would re-learn caution.
No, we have spent ourselves into a massive hole simply through allowing our government to purchase votes to win elections (both parties) and in the process left ourselves in no position for a REAL emergency were one to now appear.
This has been foolish.