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Barbarossa

Barbarossa

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sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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As the military history buffs will no doubt be aware, today is the 70th anniversary of the German invasion of the Soviet Union.

So in honor of this anniversary, perhaps the most significant even in military history (certainly the event that led to the greatest war of all time), question: Was the Nazi invasion of the USSR always a foregone conclusion or did Stalin's conduct provoke Hitler into invading?

Put another way, was there anything that Stalin could have done to pacify Hitler into not invading?

K

Germany

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Maybe they should have signed a treaty declaring they wouldn't attack each other! 😉

No but seriously, Hitler was a bit of a loony and I'm sure he would've attacked the USSR regardless of Stalin's actions.

utherpendragon

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Originally posted by KazetNagorra
Maybe they should have signed a treaty declaring they wouldn't attack each other! 😉

No but seriously, Hitler was a bit of a loony and I'm sure he would've attacked the USSR regardless of Stalin's actions.
Agreed. No way around it,Hitler would try to take out Russia. He viewed them as sub human/mongrels and not part of the master race.Not to mention their vast resources that he desperately needed to fuel his war machine.He could have done it too with proper planning and timing.
Great Britan is a different story.He desperately wanted them to play ball with him and felt they were very similar.Cousins for lack of a better word.

V

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hitler hated the communists (and jews, who led the communist movements in germany and austria) and blamed them for all the troubles of germany. i think it was a foregone conclusion that he would attack the ussr and stalin, being a paranoid delusional knew this. hitler had to strike before stalin could build up his defenses.

F

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I don't think Germany would have been able to occupy the Soviet Union successfully. I think the Russian Resistance would have been even more formidable than the French one.

Had Barbarossa been successful, what do you think would have been the situation in say 1950?

edit: Maybe that's another thread for another day. 😀

AThousandYoung
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Originally posted by sh76
As the military history buffs will no doubt be aware, today is the 70th anniversary of the German invasion of the Soviet Union.

So in honor of this anniversary, perhaps the most significant even in military history (certainly the event that led to the greatest war of all time), question: Was the Nazi invasion of the USSR always a foregone conclusion or did S ...[text shortened]... another way, was there anything that Stalin could have done to pacify Hitler into not invading?
Hitler always planned to invade to the East. What caught him by surprise was the fact that the British and Americans weren't cool with it.

Chris Guffogg
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Mein Kampf makes several refrences to his desire of living space in the east.

B

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Originally posted by AThousandYoung
Hitler always planned to invade to the East. What caught him by surprise was the fact that the British and Americans weren't cool with it.
It could hardly have caught him by surprise when he was already at war with the UK and in a semi-war with the USA. For centuries the UK has fought wars to prevent a single country gaining dominance on the continent. Would Hitler truly have thought they'd change their tune just because he was fighting Communists as well even while he was still occupying Britain's Allies ?

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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Originally posted by FMF
I don't think Germany would have been able to occupy the Soviet Union successfully. I think the Russian Resistance would have been even more formidable than the French one.

Had Barbarossa been successful, what do you think would have been the situation in say 1950?

edit: Maybe that's another thread for another day. 😀
Well, I think I might disagree with that. More formidable than French resistance would not have been enough, as French resistance would not have driven the Germans out or done anything near such without the Allies invading and winning the war. Germany was able to, using brutal occupying tactics, control very well the Russian provinces it held for three years. Brutal oppression, a puppet government, throw in a little colonization; I don't see why Germany could not have occupied the USSR as Britain did India for many decades.

Had Barbarossa been successful, the big question is whether the Allies could have won the war anyway and that's obviously not clear; though there's no question it would have taken many more years to do so.

You mean if Barbarossa been successful and there had been a separate peace in the west? I don't think there's much question that Hitler would have been the master of eastern Europe for at least a couple of decades.

F

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Originally posted by sh76
Well, I think I might disagree with that. More formidable than French resistance would not have been enough, as French resistance would not have driven the Germans out or done anything near such without the Allies invading and winning the war. Germany was able to, using brutal occupying tactics, control very well the Russian provinces it held for three years. B ...[text shortened]... I don't see why Germany could not have occupied the USSR as Britain did India for many decades.
Oh alright then. 🙂

sh76
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Originally posted by Hells Caretaker
Mein Kampf makes several refrences to his desire of living space in the east.
Yes, though most of the German general staff was against or at least ambivalent about an invasion of the USSR. Herman Wouk says that Hitler convinced his general staff to invade the USSR by pointing to Stalin's occupation of the Baltic states and (present day) Moldova (then Bessarabia).

Fundamentally, I agree that Hitler was Hell bent on the invasion at some point in any case, but it would have been more difficult without Russian expansionism in 1939 and 1940. Ironically, it's quite possible that Stalin undertook those expansionist policies to put himself in a better position for an eventual showdown with Hitler.

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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This is what Wouk (writing from the viewpoint of a German general) has to say about the issue of whether Russia could have been occupied successfully by Germany.

Armchair strategists have the advantage not only of hindsight, but of being irresponsible. Nobody really cares what they think. The contest is over, and nothing hinges on their opinions. They are just consuming ink and paper, which are cheap. Before the event, however, every decision in war involves the lives of soldiers, perhaps the national existence itself. It is unwise to dismiss out of hand, long afterward, the judgments of the men in the field who had to do the job. But this caution is seldom exercised in critiques of Barbarossa.

Three fallacious objections to our campaign crop up over and over. They contradict each other, but that does not stop the critics from using one, or two, or all three. It is alleged:

First, that our invasion of the Soviet Union was doomed to fail, no matter how many military victories were won, because a small patch of Europe like Germany, with eighty million inhabitants, could not hope to hold down vast Russia with close to two hundred millions; Second, that Hitler’s harsh treatment of the Russian inhabitants was fatuous, because they would otherwise have welcomed us with open arms and helped to overthrow the hated Communist regime. In this connection, the old story of village women coming to greet the German invaders with flowers, or with bread and salt, is invariably trotted out; Third, that the plan made the classic error of seeking territorial or economic objectives, instead of concentrating on destroying the enemy’s armed forces.

Very well. To the first point, I reply that a glance at the world map shows that a tiny island like England, peopled by thirty or forty million, could not possibly have ruled South Africa, India, Canada, and Australia, with almost half a billion inhabitants. Nevertheless, for a long time, England did. Moreover, these subject lands were not contiguous, but thousands of miles away, at the end of thread-thin lines of sea communication. The Soviet Union, on the other hand, was in land communication with Germany, directly under our guns.

These critics forget that the Soviet Union in the first instance was the creation of a small extremist party of Bolsheviks, who overthrew the regime and seized control of a population ten thousand times as numerous as themselves, a conglomerate of many nationalities. Or that a small ferocious Mongolian invader, the Golden Horde, actually did rule the Slav masses for more than a century. In short, these critics know nothing of the history of conquest, or the techniques of military administration, especially with modern communications and equipment. Had we conquered the Soviet Union, we would have administered it. We did quite well in the provinces we held for years.

The second contention of course contradicts the first. If we could not hold down the Russians in any case, what would we have gained by an easy policy toward them? It would only have hastened the day of our overthrow. But this criticism rests on an absurd misconception of the entire nature of the war between Germany and the Soviet Union. This was, in the strictest sense, a war to the death. History had come to a turn. There were two strong industrial powers left on the Eurasian landmass, and only two. They faced each other. They were dedicated to totally different revolutionary ideologies. If Bolshevism were to triumph, Germany as we knew it had to die. If German National Socialism prevailed, there was no room on this heartland for an independent, armed, menacing Bolshevik nation far bigger than the Reich.


The Winds of War (pp. 820-821)

(emphasis added)

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

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I can just paste in the whole magnum opus (Winds of War and War and Remembrance) from my Kindle for PC if you'd like. It's only about 2,500 pages long.

😉

i

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Originally posted by sh76
This is what Wouk (writing from the viewpoint of a German general) has to say about the issue of whether Russia could have been occupied successfully by Germany.

Armchair strategists have the advantage not only of hindsight, but of being irresponsible. Nobody really cares what they think. The contest is over, and nothing hinges on their opinions. They ...[text shortened]... bigger than the Reich.


The Winds of War (pp. 820-821)

(emphasis added)
The whole premise is invalid. History does not have what if clauses. Nazi Germany was defeated and anything else will remain merely an unproven speculation. Why can't we discuss if Germany could successfully occupy the US in the same breath? Or, if USSR decided to annex the parts of Germany it occupied and make itanother Soviet Republic?

BTW the 70th anniversary is a topic of many articles in Russian media. It's been just revealed that Stalin had over 40 warnings from different branches of Soviet intelligence with an exact date (and sometimes time) of the German attack in the two prior weeks.

ZB

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I told Hitler not to invade Russia but he did it anyway and know you know The Rest Of The Story.

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