@kevcvs57 saidYes. Corbyn is a dick. If Labour fail to endorse a caretaker PM that will
Bercow to one side there are plenty of grand dames and dukes on the back benches who could play the disinterested caretaker for the short period involved, but no, Jeremy sees an opportunity for getting his ass in the big chair and literally nothing else.
pee off many moderate Labour supporters. Where do they go, though?
The next election will be a free-for-all. FPTP will ensure it's unpredictable.
@wolfgang59 saidIf you're content with a 2.94% chance of winning, be my guest.
Really ... does everything have to be explained so simply to you?
I was commenting on the fact that at 33-1 it looks like a reasonable bet.
I'm not taking evens!
@ashiitaka saidWhat odds would you suggest are fair?
If you're content with a 2.94% chance of winning, be my guest.
@wolfgang59 saidWell, there's a difference between odds that fairly reflect John Bercow's chances of becoming Prime Minister and what I would consider reasonable in terms of what I would wager on. Odds of 33/1 against winning would be considered very long by most people. This is expressed in a low probability (0.0294).
What odds would you suggest are fair?
Personally, I wouldn't wager anything more than a paltry sum on that outcome unless I had insider information.
@ashiitaka saidWhat odds would you suggest are fair?
Well, there's a difference between odds that fairly reflect John Bercow's chances of becoming Prime Minister and what I would consider reasonable in terms of what I would wager on. Odds of 33/1 against winning would be considered very long by most people. This is expressed in a low probability (0.0294).
Personally, I wouldn't wager anything more than a paltry sum on that outcome unless I had insider information.
@wolfgang59 saidI already offered even money, can't get fairer than that.
What odds would you suggest are fair?