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Best & Worst Case Scenarios for COVID 19 in the U.S.

Best & Worst Case Scenarios for COVID 19 in the U.S.

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P

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22 Mar 20

"By some counts, the United States is just eight days behind Italy on a similar trajectory, and it’s difficult to see how America can pirouette from the path of Italy to that of South Korea. The United States may already have 100,000 infected citizens — nobody knows. That’s too many to trace. Indeed, one can argue that the U.S. is not only on the same path as Italy but is also less prepared, for America has fewer doctors and hospital beds per capita than Italy does — and a shorter life expectancy even in the best of times."
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-outcomes.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage

E

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22 Mar 20
1 edit

@Phranny

We will see. Do you want to place a bet? To be on the same trajectory the US would need to see 5 times as many deaths.


In 8 days the US will have 5 times as many deaths as Italy, any takers?

P

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22 Mar 20

@Eladar, as Duchess would say, you have very poor reading comprehension.

Ponderable
chemist

Linkenheim

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12 May 20

@phranny said
"By some counts, the United States is just eight days behind Italy on a similar trajectory, and it’s difficult to see how America can pirouette from the path of Italy to that of South Korea. The United States may already have 100,000 infected citizens — nobody knows. That’s too many to trace. Indeed, one can argue that the U.S. is not only on the same path as Italy but is als ...[text shortened]... .com/2020/03/20/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-outcomes.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage
It seems Phranny's source forecast quite well.

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