15 May '10 18:45>
Clegg has done a deal to get a referendum on the AV voting system. However, if it went through it could easily mean the LibDems seat share going up to 80+ maybe even 90. Labour and the Tories would lose seats as a result. Minority parties will also creep in.
This would mean hung parliaments more often and less chance of Tory/Labour majorities. Even more than this it is seen by the liberals and the progressive left as a stepping stone to PR. One the public get a taste for voting reform then one more hung parliament and the next deal then becomes full PR (with 170+ seats for the Lib Dems).
This is obviously the Lib Dem dream , but it is also the Tory nightmare (because they will never govern on their own again). So here's my question . Clegg and Cameron have both signed up to an AV referendum but my guess is that Cameron will try and find a way out of it somehow , whilst Clegg's battle will be to hold him to it. It could be that a split followed by an election could scupper the whole thing , and if cameron gets a majority it's bye bye Cleggy.
The Tories would not have signed up to this deal if they thought that it would lead to hung parliaments and referendums on PR. They have way too much to lose The Lib Dems would not have signed up to it if they thought that the Tories could find a way to block it , they have the opportunity of a generation and do not want to blow it.
Something has to give. Either we will possibly be on our way to full electoral reform or the Tory deal will have a sting in it's tail.
So who's fooling who? Has Clegg pulled a fast one on Cameron , or has Cameron sold Clegg an old banger that he thought was a Rolls Royce?
This would mean hung parliaments more often and less chance of Tory/Labour majorities. Even more than this it is seen by the liberals and the progressive left as a stepping stone to PR. One the public get a taste for voting reform then one more hung parliament and the next deal then becomes full PR (with 170+ seats for the Lib Dems).
This is obviously the Lib Dem dream , but it is also the Tory nightmare (because they will never govern on their own again). So here's my question . Clegg and Cameron have both signed up to an AV referendum but my guess is that Cameron will try and find a way out of it somehow , whilst Clegg's battle will be to hold him to it. It could be that a split followed by an election could scupper the whole thing , and if cameron gets a majority it's bye bye Cleggy.
The Tories would not have signed up to this deal if they thought that it would lead to hung parliaments and referendums on PR. They have way too much to lose The Lib Dems would not have signed up to it if they thought that the Tories could find a way to block it , they have the opportunity of a generation and do not want to blow it.
Something has to give. Either we will possibly be on our way to full electoral reform or the Tory deal will have a sting in it's tail.
So who's fooling who? Has Clegg pulled a fast one on Cameron , or has Cameron sold Clegg an old banger that he thought was a Rolls Royce?