04 Nov 08
Originally posted by LundosDo you think that they just used a totally random sample? Pleeze.
600 across each state? That says nothing about the demographics and is therefore useless.
Anyway, Mr. Obama will win tonight.
600 voters in 50 states is a 30,000 voter sample which is far more than any polling group has used in 2008. Obama was virtually unknown in 2006; it's not surprising that McCain would swamp him in a poll back then.
04 Nov 08
Originally posted by LundosI don't doubt Obama will win.
600 across each state? That says nothing about the demographics and is therefore useless.
Anyway, Mr. Obama will win tonight.
I just thought it was an amusing little post. I didn't mean to suggest it was indicative of anything
other than how unknown Obama was just two years ago.
Nemesio
04 Nov 08
1 edit
Originally posted by no1marauderI don't know what they used. I used to work for the biggest polling company in Denmark, and we used all kinds of samples. It doesn't matter what it was used for. Just get about 1.000 people to answer and it's all good.
Do you think that they just used a totally random sample? Pleeze.
600 voters in 50 states is a 30,000 voter sample which is far more than any polling group has used in 2008. Obama was virtually unknown in 2006; it's not surprising that McCain would swamp him in a poll back then.
Among the 600 could be 200 old women who doesn't follow politics and 200 soccer moms (the most likely candidates for answering pollsters).
It's not that I don't agree with the arguement that it's because they didn't know Mr. Obama, I'm just not sure I like that you can be almost anonymous among the voters and just two years later be President of the most powerful country in the world.
EDIT: Language correction.
04 Nov 08
Originally posted by LundosSurveyUSA is a respected political polling organization that knows how to weight its sample.
I don't know what they used. I used to work for the biggest polling company in Denmark, and we used all kinds of samples. It doesn't matter what it was used for. Just get about 1.000 people to answer and it's all good.
Among the 600 could be 200 old women who doesn't follow politics and 200 soccer moms (the most likely candidates for answering pollsters). ...[text shortened]... voters and just two years later be President of the most powerful country in the world.
04 Nov 08
Ah, the beauty. McSame will die without ever being a dictator. Good. This country doesn't need him as "president". Thank GOD he probably won't be running ever again. He's 72 years old, should he not be retired? This good 'ol Maverick needs to select his casket in light of all those heart conditions, he shouldn't have stressed his old heart so much this election.