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It's official: Mar-a-Lago in Democratic hands

It's official: Mar-a-Lago in Democratic hands

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@Soothfast said
Care to substantiate that claim?

In any case take a look here:
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2017/07/13/u-s-house-seats-rarely-flip-to-other-party-in-special-elections/
[quote]U.S. House seats rarely flip to other party in special elections

Of the 130 House special elections since 1987, only 21 (16😵 resulted in a seat changing from Republican to De ...[text shortened]... e general election stands a chance of being even more brutal for the GOP than the special elections.
To be fair, this election was for a Florida House seat, not a US one, so the article isn't really on point.

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@Mott-The-Hoople said
republicans are always at a disadvantage in special elections...the have to work
At a job they are eminently unsuited for.

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@Sleepyguy said
Yeah but Trump won that district by 19 points last time around. Don't kid yourself. Impeachment 3.0 could be right around the corner.
After we finally have a Senate who will finally do their job.

No more 'practice runs'.

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@no1marauder said
To be fair, this election was for a Florida House seat, not a US one, so the article isn't really on point.
A valid point, and I don't have a link to anything that looks specifically at state-level politics. Generally I assume that the dynamics of federal politics, especially these days, tends to be reflected in state politics, and vice-versa. In fact I'd go one better, and hazard that Republicans in federal offices are these days facing a stronger backlash compared with state-level Republicans. Generally, the more local the politics, the more likely one is still able to find a sane, moderate Republican.

Just an opinion, of course. Should we expect that US House Republicans in Florida are more popular than Florida state house Republicans? I have a hard time seeing how it could be possible.