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In other Nate Silver related news, he's pretty much concluded that the Comey announcement late in the campaign of the "investigation" of nothing decided the election for Trump. Take a gander at his twitter page: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538
Example: Clinton lost 4 states (FL, MI, WI, PA) by ~1 point. If not for Comey/Russia, she probably wins them all by ~2 points