Will the Bern upset Hillary in Nevada or will she roll up a victory and retain her "inevitability"?
Can the Donald win big or can Cruz or Rubio (HE'S BACK at least according to the polls) knock him down a notch?
SC polls don't close until 7 but the Nevada Democratic caucuses are over and results are trickling in. A nail-biter so far; we'll see if the Iowa and New Hampshire tendencies follow again which saw Bernie do better as more votes were counted.
Originally posted by normbenign To what do you attribute Hillary's dominance with black voters?
More data would be nice, but off the top of my head I'd say they are familiar with her and generally agree with her on the issues. Bernie's not as well known and perhaps the fact he isn't actually a Democrat doesn't help as blacks are a pretty loyal Democratic group. And Obama seems to be supporting Hillary without coming right out and saying it and he remains enormously popular among black Democrats (something like 90% approval).
South Carolina's 50 Republican delegates are allocated 29 to the winner of the statewide primary and 3 each to the candidate who wins in each of the State's 7 Congressional districts. Barring a sudden shift, it now appears likely the Trump will win all 50 even if he gets about a 1/3 of the vote as he is getting now.
I think this is a bad night for Ted Cruz. SC Republicans were 73% evangelical or Born-Again Christians (even higher than Iowa where he won) but it looks like he'll finish slightly behind Rubio in 3rd and at least 10 points behind Trump. It doesn't look good for him in the future in any State but Texas.
EDIT: Trump actually won the BA/EV Christian vote by 33%-27% over Cruz and did solidly in just about every demographic.http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/sc/Rep
Cruz's support plummeted when you went from "very conservative" to "somewhat conservative" and was down to single digits among "moderates". The Donald got 29% even among "very conservative" and beat Rubio by double digits in all three categories.