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Running against a Strong Economy

Running against a Strong Economy

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@no1marauder said
That was one poll; aggregates of polls still have him at negative approval:

Real Clear Politics: -6.3% https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

538: -7.9%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

At this point in his Presidency, Trump has the highest level of disapproval of any President since mod ...[text shortened]... during Truman's term; no incumbent has ever been above 50% disapproval at this point but the Donald.
Makes one wonder. After all He”s Done?

Won’t bore you with the list, but Polls are always wrong, Hillary winning being at the top of the list. So much for polls. Might as well talk time travel.


@averagejoe1 said
Makes one wonder. After all He”s Done?

Won’t bore you with the list, but Polls are always wrong, Hillary winning being at the top of the list. So much for polls. Might as well talk time travel.
It's tiresome to constantly repeat it here, but the aggregate of national polls were within about 1% of the popular vote in 2016. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

I wouldn't count on the Donald pulling the equivalent of an inside straight again by losing the total vote by millions but winning by taking a few Midwest States by razor thin margins (all of which went big for Democrats in 2018).

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@no1marauder said
It's tiresome to constantly repeat it here, but the aggregate of national polls were within about 1% of the popular vote in 2016. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

I wouldn't count on the Donald pulling the equivalent of an inside straight again by losing the total vote by millions but winning by taking a few Midwest States by razor thin margins (all of which went big for Democrats in 2018).
silver gave clinton an 85% chance of winning...hind sight is 20-20

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@mott-the-hoople said
silver gave clinton an 85% chance of winning...hind sight is 20-20
Actually, his model said 72% in his final pre-election article.

Left wingers were going crazy criticizing him for giving Trump that much of a chance to win.


@no1marauder said
Actually, his model said 72% in his final pre-election article.

Left wingers were going crazy criticizing him for giving Trump that much of a chance to win.
Yeah, but giving Trump better odds than getting tails twice in a row when flipping a coin means that the model actually predicts that Clinton will win for sure... in the warped minds of the statistically illiterate.


Forgot the link: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus


@AverageJoe1

Regarding running against a strong economy, please read this take-down of Trump's SotU address (which was peppered with falsehoods):

https://apnews.com/bc9bdfa1ee87c521ed8cae719929c4fd


@earl-of-trumps said
Why the hell do libs think the people from all over Latin America are trying to get IN TO the US???
If the US bordered most European countries
Americans would be illegally entering Europe.

And if good ol' USA is so great .... why aren't Canadians illegally crossing?


@mott-the-hoople said
hind sight is 20-20
No. "hind sight" is spotting a female deer.

Perhaps with hindsight you meant "hindsight"?

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@wolfgang59 said
No. "hind sight" is spotting a female deer.

Perhaps with hindsight you meant "hindsight"?
Deers have excellent sight and it can be read in this way.

If some one were as blind as a bat, this would not be written batsight.


@wajoma said
Deers have excellent sight and it can be read in this way.
Human visual acuity is at least twice that of most deer.

But don't let facts get in your way wackoma.

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@wolfgang59 said
Human visual acuity is at least twice that of most deer.

But don't let facts get in your way wackoma.
Didn't quantify the hind sight in a comparative way wolfgang. In comparison to critters that virtually can't see, deers have excellent sight, but that was not the point.

wolfgang logic πŸ™„


@no1marauder said
November is a long time away.

I think Trump should be an underdog to win re-election at this point; he's still unpopular.
The absence of Hillary will make it harder for undecided to vote Trump imho.


@wajoma said
Didn't quantify the hind sight in a comparative way wolfgang. In comparison to critters that virtually can't see, deers have excellent sight, but that was not the point.

wolfgang logic πŸ™„
LOL
Deers have excellent sight compared to the blind?

LOL
You are more stupid than I imagined.


@no1marauder....Amen,. Marauder, hey I don't care what LESS THAN AVERAGE JOE says about you, I think you're alright.