11 Oct '11 22:12>
Tell me where I go wrong—that’s all I ask for you to do. I’m tired of hearing politicians’ sound bites, and I’m tired of reading (and making) snarky comments on RHP that don’t do much but hijack mid-sized threads. I want to have a serious, legitimate discussion about these issues (and I’m trying to capitalize on that initiative before it fades back into cynicism, so help me out), so engage me if you’re interested. Call me naïve if you want to, but I’m willing to risk starting this discussion anyway. I’m not an economist, so don’t expect me to be, and I won’t expect you to be one, either.
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Hypothetically speaking, why would lowering taxes for corporations spur more job growth through investment in the economy? Corporations are making record profits, and yet those corporations’ work forces are shrinking or at best staying constant. Even if you don’t see that as an intrinsically negative consequence of wealth inequality in the United States, why would you assume that corporations need even more money from tax breaks before they suddenly decide to reinvest it? Is there a secret profit margin companies require before they feel generous enough to reinvest “excess profit” back into the economy?
In response to similar questions, the current field of GOP candidates has typically produced an answer along the lines of, “Obama has created so much ‘uncertainty’ in the economy that no companies want to spend their money.” (I find it ironic that “uncertainty” is so inherently ambiguous a word in the first place, but that’s another story.)
I haven’t seen any data to support that claim. Here’s a quote from an article (full disclosure: the author writes for a left-leaning think tank) that makes a preliminary effort at refuting that claim:
I struggle with the idea that the government is somehow a bully that waddles around the country looking for ways to terrify innocent businesses. Perhaps some of this so-called “uncertainty” is self-imposed?
Along those same lines of thought, as far as wondering aloud how tax breaks spur job growth, beyond what personal income threshold does a person become a “big”-business owner? Would conservatives ever be willing to make an effort to quantify differences between “small”- and “big”-businesses for the purposes of taxation? Even on a gradual scale? I find it hard to fathom that a majority of the millionaires that would be included in the now doomed millionaires’ tax bracket in the Senate jobs plan would actively be contributing personal income into their own small businesses, if they even owned them.
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Hypothetically speaking, why would lowering taxes for corporations spur more job growth through investment in the economy? Corporations are making record profits, and yet those corporations’ work forces are shrinking or at best staying constant. Even if you don’t see that as an intrinsically negative consequence of wealth inequality in the United States, why would you assume that corporations need even more money from tax breaks before they suddenly decide to reinvest it? Is there a secret profit margin companies require before they feel generous enough to reinvest “excess profit” back into the economy?
In response to similar questions, the current field of GOP candidates has typically produced an answer along the lines of, “Obama has created so much ‘uncertainty’ in the economy that no companies want to spend their money.” (I find it ironic that “uncertainty” is so inherently ambiguous a word in the first place, but that’s another story.)
I haven’t seen any data to support that claim. Here’s a quote from an article (full disclosure: the author writes for a left-leaning think tank) that makes a preliminary effort at refuting that claim:
From http://www.epi.org/publication/regulatory-uncertainty-phony-explanation/
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), which describes itself as “the leading small business association representing small and independent businesses,” does a regular survey of small businesses. One question that has been asked since 1973, is “what is the single most important problem your business faces?” The answer choices are inflation, taxes, government regulation, poor sales, quality of labor, interest costs, health insurance costs, the cost of labor, and other matters. Interestingly, the single largest response is “poor sales,” the choice of 30 percent of respondents since President Obama was sworn in (averaging the 10 quarters between early 2009 and spring 2011). In other words, slack demand appears to be the key concern of small businesses...
Besides the NFIB survey of small businesses, there are two recent surveys of economists that also indicate the “uncertainty” story is baseless. First, the Wall Street Journal’s recent survey of economists (Hollander 2011) showed that “U.S. companies are reluctant to hire—but not because of uncertainty over government policies…. A majority of the 53 economists surveyed (Izzo 2011) from July 8-13…say it is the lack of demand that is keeping hiring down.” EPI’s Isaac Shapiro wrote a blog post about the National Association for Business Economics’ recent survey of 250 of its members, who include both academic business economists and practicing business economists (i.e., those who use economics in the workplace). According to Shapiro (2011), the survey contains the following results:
*The vast majority (80 percent) of those surveyed believe the current regulatory environment is good for American businesses and the overall economy.
*The large majority of business economists believe concerns about economic uncertainty are a proxy for generalized concerns about the bad economy. (That is, the concerns do not reflect business worries about regulation.) Few believe economic uncertainty is a major concern that is holding back economic progress.
I struggle with the idea that the government is somehow a bully that waddles around the country looking for ways to terrify innocent businesses. Perhaps some of this so-called “uncertainty” is self-imposed?
Along those same lines of thought, as far as wondering aloud how tax breaks spur job growth, beyond what personal income threshold does a person become a “big”-business owner? Would conservatives ever be willing to make an effort to quantify differences between “small”- and “big”-businesses for the purposes of taxation? Even on a gradual scale? I find it hard to fathom that a majority of the millionaires that would be included in the now doomed millionaires’ tax bracket in the Senate jobs plan would actively be contributing personal income into their own small businesses, if they even owned them.