@AverageJoe1 saidYou and all your friends missed all the stimulus checks, ever?
Fascinating to you, of course. Of a parasitic nature, it is human nature for you to get free money, nothing fascinating about that amongst your ilk, I take it..
I have never received what you casually refer to as simulus checks. brrrrrrrr.
Surely that must make you feel a bit inadequate? Do your family know that you are on the dole?
A self reliant person needs ...[text shortened]... cess. Try it.
I, and my friends I was with this morning, have no idea what you are taking about.
Either your group is incredible oblivious, you all have terrible memories, or your neighborhood must be a gated community in Beverly Hills or Newport Beach.
Edit: As for being on the "dole" I pay Uncle Sam tens of thousands every year in income tax. An occasional $300 stimulus check notwithstanding, I'm not on the dole.
@wildgrass saidYour last paragraph is completely wrong and makes me think you didn't even read the Autor study.
Ok thanks! Big difference in the cost per job between these two studies ($258k vs $70k). I read the methods in your report but could not understand their reasoning. It seemed convoluted to me that they use data from the county the bank that received the "loans" were located, whether or not the banks chose to take the "loans" or not, and the relative unemployment numbers in ...[text shortened]... most logical approach, so I trust that analysis more than the lender-focused study you just shared.
You bitched about the estimates given by the Trump administration studies, so I found one by researchers affiliated with the Fed published during the Biden administration. Their methodology makes obvious sense linking unemployment rates to the amount of PPP loans in particular counties.
@wildgrass saidHere's Autor's method:
Ok thanks! Big difference in the cost per job between these two studies ($258k vs $70k). I read the methods in your report but could not understand their reasoning. It seemed convoluted to me that they use data from the county the bank that received the "loans" were located, whether or not the banks chose to take the "loans" or not, and the relative unemployment numbers in ...[text shortened]... most logical approach, so I trust that analysis more than the lender-focused study you just shared.
" The simplest and arguably most credible—though not necessarily most
complete—method to assess the employment effects of the Paycheck Protection
Plan is to compare the trajectory of employment at firms below the 500-employee
initial-eligibility threshold to employment at ineligible firms above this threshold
during the course of the pandemic. "
https://shapingwork.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/jep.36.2.55.pdf p. 62. The paper then goes through about 5 more pages refining the data.
The Fed study is better because it focuses not just on the firm's involved, but on the entire economic effect of PPP loans on a local economy. Bolstering employment by preventing layoffs not only saves the jobs at the firms getting the PPP money but it also strengthens the local economy by preserving higher levels of consumer spending and thus has a multiplier effect that prevents layoffs at firms in the area even if they were ineligible for the program.
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@no1marauder said
Here's Autor's method:
" The simplest and arguably most credible—though not necessarily most
complete—method to assess the employment effects of the Paycheck Protection
Plan is to compare the trajectory of employment at firms below the 500-employee
initial-eligibility threshold to employment at ineligible firms above this threshold
during the course of the pand ...[text shortened]... lier effect that prevents layoffs at firms in the area even if they were ineligible for the program.
... but it also strengthens the local economy by preserving higher levels of consumer spending...
This is the classic "trickle down economics" argument, and precisely why the legislation has been rightfully slammed as regressive.
We give Tom Brady a bunch of money so he can buy a yacht which "strengthens the local economy" because someone's going to get paid minimum wage to build that yacht.
I'm against it.
@no1marauder saidI think it makes less sense than the other more-direct method. If you are saying the counties that got more PPP money see lower unemployment, there are many confounding factors that also contribute. The authors of that study admit this is a limitation.
Your last paragraph is completely wrong and makes me think you didn't even read the Autor study.
You bitched about the estimates given by the Trump administration studies, so I found one by researchers affiliated with the Fed published during the Biden administration. Their methodology makes obvious sense linking unemployment rates to the amount of PPP loans in particular counties.
@wildgrass saidYou don't understand what "trickle down economics" means if you think jobs programs are an example of them.... but it also strengthens the local economy by preserving higher levels of consumer spending...
This is the classic "trickle down economics" argument, and precisely why the legislation has been rightfully slammed as regressive.
We give Tom Brady a bunch of money so he can buy a yacht which "strengthens the local economy" because someone's going to get paid minimum wage to build that yacht.
I'm against it.
And you're still telling a falsehood, Don Junior.
@sh76 saidNo, average neighborhood, average American capitalist conservative friends. I don't fault your having the reverse....lib friends and socialist tendencies.
You and all your friends missed all the stimulus checks, ever?
Either your group is incredible oblivious, you all have terrible memories, or your neighborhood must be a gated community in Beverly Hills or Newport Beach.
Edit: As for being on the "dole" I pay Uncle Sam tens of thousands every year in income tax. An occasional $300 stimulus check notwithstanding, I'm not on the dole.
But personal info is irrelevant. I had to be personal to say neither I nor they get govt money, we rely on our own designs.
As we heard of stimulus checks in some way or another, possibly the business news, we arent aware of them If my kids got them, I don't know about it.
Is that enough, please? Give it up.
@no1marauder saidNah, you're telling falsehoods to yourself. It's really really clear that the money went to the bosses of the employees and the corporate investors, with a little bit trickling down to the workers.
You don't understand what "trickle down economics" means if you think jobs programs are an example of them.
And you're still telling a falsehood, Don Junior.
Not a great jobs program, in my opinion.
@AverageJoe1 saidDude... pay attention.
No, average neighborhood, average American capitalist conservative friends. I don't fault your having the reverse....lib friends and socialist tendencies.
But personal info is irrelevant. I had to be personal to say neither I nor they get govt money, we rely on our own designs.
As we heard of stimulus checks in some way or another, possibly the business news, w ...[text shortened]... ware of them If my kids got them, I don't know about it.
Is that enough, please? Give it up.
YOU got them. YOU got the stimulus checks.
Your friends. The ones who are good ol' boys from the hood. THEY got them. THEY got the stimulus checks. You all got them. You probably all deposited or cashed them.
It's possible you conveniently forgot them, as the only alternative is that you're lying.
Edit: Not that I really give a damn, but I still feel a silly compulsion to point out that calling me and my friends "lib" and "socialist" is utterly laughable.
@sh76 saidhttps://money.com/who-got-stimulus-checks-eligibility-report/
Dude... pay attention.
YOU got them. YOU got the stimulus checks.
Your friends. The ones who are good ol' boys from the hood. THEY got them. THEY got the stimulus checks. You all got them. You probably all deposited or cashed them.
It's possible you conveniently forgot them, as the only alternative is that you're lying.
Edit: Not that I really give a damn, but I stil ...[text shortened]... y compulsion to point out that calling me and my friends "lib" and "socialist" is utterly laughable.
15% was outright fraudulent, which is something like $120 billion. Some of it was clawed back, some people went to jail, but only a small fraction. Most got away with stealing from taxpayers.
Then there's the category like Tom Brady, who didn't need the money but didn't commit fraud when he applied for the cash handout. That's the bulk of the rest of the money.
Then there's a small fraction that actually helped small businesses and helped with payroll. What a disaster.
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/17/business/ppp-fraud-covid.html
@no1marauder saidTrickle down economics is when the government gives tax handouts to rich people and hope they spend a few pennies of their excess riches to prop up the common man.
You don't understand what "trickle down economics" means if you think jobs programs are an example of them.
And you're still telling a falsehood, Don Junior.
This is exactly what PPP was.