Trump Beating Biden in Swing States, 6.5 - 0.5

@spruce112358
Speaking of Rasmussen, this will give you a flavor of why many people will lean toward Trump, even if they find him to be a weird narcissist uncouth loudmouth.

YouTube

@Sleepyguy
And that is his GOOD side.....

@sleepyguy said
@spruce112358
Speaking of Rasmussen, this will give you a flavor of why many people will lean toward Trump, even if they find him to be a weird narcissist uncouth loudmouth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qng4jqdgfDw

Dammit! I'm not in the elite 1%... only 3,000 people/sqmi in my town.

I need to move.

@sleepyguy said
@spruce112358
Speaking of Rasmussen, this will give you a flavor of why many people will lean toward Trump, even if they find him to be a weird narcissist uncouth loudmouth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qng4jqdgfDw

That's an informative interview, for sure. Thank you, @sleepyguy. Of his methods, he just said they poll 1000 people. That's standard because it produces a +/- 3% 95% CI for a proportion of 0.5. All pollsters use N~1000. But which 1000? That's the question. And what about non-response?

He's right that the wording of the question is critical. Saying, "I dumb it down" though... hmmmm. I wonder what he really means by that.

And no, I don't know what 'intersectionality' is. It's one of those words that I look up over and over and then forget each time. It's a word like 'externalities.' I final just substituted 'pollution' for that.

@spruce112358 said
"The poll aggregation and evaluation site 538, part of ABC News, dropped the right-wing polling firm Rasmussen Reports from inclusion in its polling averages and forecasts."

"The decision comes after months of consideration that broke into public view in June. At that point, G. Elliott Morris, ABC News’s editorial director of data analytics and 538 lead, presented Ras ...[text shortened]... the change this week."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/08/rasmussen-538-polling/

538 still exists?

@sh76 said
538 still exists?

As an adjunct of ABC News...

https://abcnews.go.com/538

Democrats will just do even more ballot harvesting than ever and it won't make a difference.

@suzianne said
You guys also need to stop giving RFKJr any cred on the Dem side. NO dem I know is gonna vote for that lunatic.

Since Repubs are lunatics already, some of them might vote for RFKJr, but only if Trump isn't lunatic enough for them, but I doubt that, too.

Suzi, what can I tell you?
that' twice, now, that I've seen a poll that suggests that RFK will get more votes from dems than repubs.

Embrace the disgrace!

@sleepyguy said
As an adjunct of ABC News...

https://abcnews.go.com/538

Reminds me of when they bring in replacement players when a players' union strikes.

Same name but not the same game.

@spruce112358 said
And no, I don't know what 'intersectionality' is. It's one of those words that I look up over and over and then forget each time.

Well here you go then, the first 10 minutes or so of this will get your feet wet, though I recommend you watch about 25 minutes to really understand why the intersectional adherents believe white heterosexual men must just shut up and listen:

YouTube

And if you find that interesting then I recommend this as well:

YouTube

@Cliff-Mashburn
You mean like the harvesting repubs are doing in their states with seriously fukked gerrymandering?
I guess you forgot we can look shyte up like these stealing elections already, forget the BS comments of your fascist orange antiChrist.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/08/us/elections/gerrymandering-maps-elections-republicans.html
Then there were the fake elector schemes, what, 5 states with documents looking strangely alike, I guess we were supposed to forget about too.

@sleepyguy said
Well here you go then, the first 10 minutes or so of this will get your feet wet, though I recommend you watch about 25 minutes to really understand why the intersectional adherents believe white heterosexual men must just shut up and listen:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_AvyqUOKhGA

And if you find that interesting then I recommend this as well:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVZPYQS1dFA

So in statistics we call that a positive interaction term. There is the effect of A and the effect of B but then IF B, the effect of A is even bigger (and conversely). Synergistic effect is sometimes also used.

So intersectionality is 'finding positive interactions among factors that influence oppression.' Fine.

BW, it's not religion. It's two-way ANOVA and was invented in the 1920's by RA Fisher.

@spruce112358 said
So in statistics we call that a positive interaction term. There is the effect of A and the effect of B but then IF B, the effect of A is even bigger (and conversely). Synergistic effect is sometimes also used.

So intersectionality is 'finding positive interactions among factors that influence oppression.' Fine.

BW, it's not religion. It's two-way ANOVA and was invented in the 1920's by RA Fisher.

HA. You must have had cotton in your ears. It is MARXISM with economic class swapped for identity. But whatever dude. It's fine. It's fine.

@sleepyguy said
@spruce112358
Speaking of Rasmussen, this will give you a flavor of why many people will lean toward Trump, even if they find him to be a weird narcissist uncouth loudmouth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qng4jqdgfDw

Interesting that he defines the "elite 1%" as educated urban people who make $150,000 or more. That's some serious spin.

@athousandyoung said
Interesting that he defines the "elite 1%" as educated urban people who make $150,000 or more. That's some serious spin.

Welcome to the elite 1%, ATY! Which I'm not even in.. 😠 Because my town is too dispersed... gather round, people! Clump up and be elite!