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Will minimum wage increase backfire?

Will minimum wage increase backfire?

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Originally posted by AThousandYoung
I'll check it out.

EDIT - Like most scientific papers, it's dense and wordy with jargon. I skimmed it and it seems that your summary is reasonable as far as I can tell. It's certainly a better source than my little diagram.

So it seems that the hypothesis that mimimum wages decrease employment has no verification as far as I can tell.
I wouldn't say that there is NO verification that minimum wage increases decrease employment; I would say that the majority of studies that conclude it does recognize that any such effect is small and short-lived.

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Originally posted by no1marauder
I wouldn't say that there is NO verification that minimum wage increases decrease employment; I would say that the majority of studies that conclude it does recognize that any such effect is small and short-lived.
There can be absolutely no doubt that increasing the cost of labor results in a lesser demand for it. The 'study' recognises this and so they use the airy fairy subjective word 'significant' to cover their ass.

Out in the middle of the ocean are two islands one with a higher minimum wage than the other. On one of these islands there has been until recently a thriving clothing industry. The example is right there, both islands are similarly remote. I say 'until recently' because the clothing factories are beginning to close, can you guess why?

Guam and Saipan

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Originally posted by Wajoma
There can be absolutely no doubt that increasing the cost of labor results in a lesser demand for it. The 'study' recognises this and so they use the airy fairy subjective word 'significant' to cover their ass.

Out in the middle of the ocean are two islands one with a higher minimum wage than the other. On one of these islands there has been until recen ...[text shortened]... cause the clothing factories are beginning to close, can you guess why?

Guam and Saipan
'Significant' is not some airy fairy subjective term. It's pretty rigidly defined in statistics I believe.

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Table 7 is the most relevant part.

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Originally posted by AThousandYoung
Table 7 is the most relevant part.
There are a million other factors that can effect those stats. The first thing that rings bells is the institutes subtitle "Research for Broadly Shared Prosperity
" not "...Broadly Earned Prosperity", so the agenda of the stats compilers is already questionable, they're looking for particular answers and you can bet if they couldn't be wafted in a certain direction they would not appear on that site.

Same as the Guam/Saipan example. At least there a comparison can be made, not a before and after comparison, but a side by side comparison.

There's only one question that needs answering:

An hour of your time - who does it belong to?

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Originally posted by Wajoma
There can be absolutely no doubt that increasing the cost of labor results in a lesser demand for it. The 'study' recognises this and so they use the airy fairy subjective word 'significant' to cover their ass.

Out in the middle of the ocean are two islands one with a higher minimum wage than the other. On one of these islands there has been until recen ...[text shortened]... cause the clothing factories are beginning to close, can you guess why?

Guam and Saipan
Do you believe the US should scrap the minimum wage?

Just how - with the price of petrol and groceries (among other things) going up - do you suggest people on lower incomes get by?

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Originally posted by treetalk
Do you believe the US should scrap the minimum wage?

Just how - with the price of petrol and groceries (among other things) going up - do you suggest people on lower incomes get by?
The guvamint should regulate the price of gas down to 57 cents a gallon, then they should subsidise groceries and at night they should come to my house and tuck me into bed after reading me a bedtime story and turning my pluto night light on so I'm not scared of the dark.

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Originally posted by AThousandYoung
I'll check it out.

EDIT - Like most scientific papers, it's dense and wordy with jargon. I skimmed it and it seems that your summary is reasonable as far as I can tell. It's certainly a better source than my little diagram.

So it seems that the hypothesis that mimimum wages decrease employment has no verification as far as I can tell.
That's not a scientific paper. It is a decently structured analysis, but it wouldn't be published in any journal.

Anyway, the evidence on the effects of minimum wages on employment is very mixed. There is a substantial number of papers for both negative and inexistent effects of minimum wage increases on unemployment. There is no consensus thus far.

There was a recent paper in Econometrica (one of the most prestigious journals in Economics) who highlighted that there is a recurring problem with such simple regressions, as they do not take into account the difference between supply side and demand side information.

That paper recommended an increase in the minimum wage, but the issue is still a very open topic among researchers.

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Originally posted by treetalk
Do you believe the US should scrap the minimum wage?

Just how - with the price of petrol and groceries (among other things) going up - do you suggest people on lower incomes get by?
Most of the people on minimum wage live with their parents and attend high school.

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Originally posted by treetalk
Do you believe the US should scrap the minimum wage?

Just how - with the price of petrol and groceries (among other things) going up - do you suggest people on lower incomes get by?
Why then doesn't the government mandate that everyone be paid a starting wage of $50 an hour, that would solve all their problems too.

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Originally posted by smw6869
I'd be ever so grateful if you would let me in on your activity.

GRANNY.
Face it Granny ... no one's going to tell you everything about their lives.

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Originally posted by der schwarze Ritter
Most of the people on minimum wage live with their parents and attend high school.
That is simply untrue.

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Originally posted by scherzo
Face it Granny ... no one's going to tell you everything about their lives.
I know all i want to about you. Stay on line just a little longer please.

GRANNY.

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Originally posted by smw6869
I know all i want to about you. Stay on line just a little longer please.

GRANNY.
You don't tell when I stay online.

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Originally posted by scherzo
You don't tell when I stay online.
Thank you. I now have all the info. i need. You will be contacted soon.

GRANNY.