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Coldest Air of the Season!

Coldest Air of the Season!

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S
Lead, Follow, or..

Saint Petersburg, FL

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The National Weather Service is predicting the North Pole will move to my locale:

.DISCUSSION...AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WITH A LARGE AMPLITUDE
TROUGH DIVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE NATION`S MIDSECTION TO THE EAST
COAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...WEAK LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
CENTRAL FL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...MOVING
INTO THE ATLANTIC TONIGHT WITH THE TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING
ACROSS SOUTH FL OVERNIGHT.

AHEAD OF THE LOW...A WARM FRONTAL FEATURE LOOKS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. SO WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POPS FROM NAPLES TO WEST
PALM BEACH AND POINTS NORTH FOR TODAY...THEN LIKELY ALL BUT THE GULF
COAST THIS EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS BY. WENT WITH LOWER POPS
THAN GFS/NAM MOS AS HAVE MY DOUBTS ON HOW WET IT WILL BE
TODAY...ESPECIALLY BROWARD/MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES AS THINGS MAY HOLD
OFF UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE DAY AND EARLY EVENING. ECMWF IN FACT IS A
TAD SLOWER COMPARED TO THE GFS/NAM SOLNS.

THE SERVICE AREA WILL BE IN A HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENT THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH SRH`S IN THE 200-500 RANGE...HIGHEST LAKE
REGION...AND MAX CAPE`S AROUND 500. GIVEN THE UNIMPRESSIVE
INSTABILITY...WILL MAINTAIN JUST SLIGHT CHC OF STORMS IN THE FCST.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED ALL BUT GLADES...HENDRY AND
NORTHERN COLLIER COUNTIES IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER DUE TO
THE IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELDS. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THE STORMS...AND EVEN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...SO WILL
INCLUDE THIS IN THE FCST. THERE IS A MINIMAL CHANCE OF TORNADOES
AS WELL.

NOW TO THE COLD. COLDER AIR POURS INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT
TUE/TUE NIGHT THEN GETS RE-ENFORCED BY A STRONGER DRY COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WED AFTERNOON. THE HIGH BEHIND THE SECOND
FRONT WILL BE COMING STRAIGHT DOWN FROM THE ARCTIC...MEANING IT
HAS A GOOD POTENTIAL TO BRING A FREEZE TO INTERIOR AREAS...EVEN A
HARD FREEZE. THINGS STILL LOOK ON PAR WITH TEMPS POSSIBLY NUDGING
DOWN TO FREEZING ACROSS GLADES...HENDRY...AND INTERIOR PALM BEACH
COUNTIES WED MORNING. THU MORNING STILL LOOKS THE COLDEST BEHIND
THE SECOND FRONT...WITH A HARD FREEZE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE SAME
AREAS...AND FREEZING TEMPS POSSIBLE FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS INTERIOR
COLLIER AND INTERIOR RURAL BROWARD COUNTIES...AT LEAST. ENSEMBLE
NUMBERS FROM YESTERDAY WERE WARMER THAN THE OPERATIONAL GFS.
HOWEVER...NOW THE ECMWF SHOWS COLDER 1000-850MB THICKNESSES BY 12Z
THU. LATEST GFSMOS NUMBERS FOR THU MORNING POINT TO 30S ALMOST
EVERYWHERE...WITH EVEN LOW/MID 30S TOWARDS PARTS OF THE GULF AND
ATLANTIC COASTS. I DID NOT GO THIS COLD YET AS WOULD LIKE TO SEE
MODEL TRENDS NEXT 24 HR...BUT TEMPS MAY NEED DOWNWARD
ADJUSTMENTS...AND THE CURRENT GOING FREEZE OUTLOOK MAY NEED TO
EXPANDED AT LATER SHIFTS. WE HAVE STILL PLENTY OF TIME TO ASSESS
JUST HOW COLD IT COULD GET...BUT IT COULD BE THE COLDEST AIRMASS
OF THIS WINTER SEASON...SO STAY TUNED.

FRIDAY ANY BEYOND...THE DEEP TROUGH PULLS AWAY WITH A RIDGE
BUILDING IN QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL LEAD
TO WARMING TEMPS...BACK ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...SOUTH WIND WILL INCREASE TODAY THEN BECOMING W-NW
TONIGHT AS THE FRONT SWEEPS BY. THIS WILL LEAD TO DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF STREAM. IN FACT...MARINE
CONDITIONS LOOK RATHER ROUGH THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK
AS A SECOND FRONT IS POISED TO SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA BY WED
AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS TODAY...BUT RH`S WILL LOWER INTO THE
30S ON TUE BEHIND THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...CRITICAL LEVELS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FCST. BUT
WED/THU...DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA
BEHIND A SECOND STRONGER FRONT WED...AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS LOOK
LIKELY THEN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 74 56 70 39 / 70 60 20 -
FORT LAUDERDALE 75 59 72 45 / 50 60 20 -
MIAMI 76 61 72 48 / 50 60 20 -
NAPLES 71 60 65 45 / 70 50 20 -

S
Lead, Follow, or..

Saint Petersburg, FL

Joined
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02 Feb 09
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Originally posted by SmookieP
The National Weather Service is predicting the North Pole will move to my locale:

.DISCUSSION...AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WITH A LARGE AMPLITUDE
TROUGH DIVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE NATION`S MIDSECTION TO THE EAST
COAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...WEAK LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
CENTRAL FL LAT ...[text shortened]... 20 -
MIAMI 76 61 72 48 / 50 60 20 -
NAPLES 71 60 65 45 / 70 50 20 -
Any thoughts?

J

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Originally posted by SmookieP
Any thoughts?
Yeah. Why all the caps?

yo its me
Yo! Its been

Me, all along

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Originally posted by Jigtie
Yeah. Why all the caps?
Do you feel like he's shouting at ya?

P
Upward Spiral

Halfway

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Originally posted by yo its me
Do you feel like he's shouting at ya?
Maybe he's afraid the wind is too loud.

yo its me
Yo! Its been

Me, all along

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Originally posted by SmookieP
Any thoughts?
It's snowy here, they've predicted the coldest feb in 70years (or was that the coldest march- I forget) My thoughts are you've had lots of storms latelly (over the past year or so) and maybe stronger houses, or at least double glasing would be a good idea.

M

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We've just finished our hottest week on record - anybody want to swap?

Elamef37
Queenslander

Tropical North

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Originally posted by MissOleum
We've just finished our hottest week on record - anybody want to swap?
You can always move back to the Sunshine State 😀

Overcast the last few days, and a lovely cool breeze. 🙂

l
Man of Steel

rushing to and fro

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Originally posted by MissOleum
We've just finished our hottest week on record - anybody want to swap?
Gladly!

S
Lead, Follow, or..

Saint Petersburg, FL

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Originally posted by Jigtie
Yeah. Why all the caps?
Sorry about the caps, that's how the National Weather Service posted it..

It's been a very cold Winter here in South Florida so far.. 2 record cold waves, and the biggest coming here on Wednesday..

I did see the snowstorm in England on the News. Crazy weather!

A Unique Nickname

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Originally posted by SmookieP
Sorry about the caps, that's how the National Weather Service posted it..

It's been a very cold Winter here in South Florida so far.. 2 record cold waves, and the biggest coming here on Wednesday..

I did see the snowstorm in England on the News. Crazy weather!
it wasn't as warm as i thought it would've been in october in miami when i was over. not cold but not what i expected.

S
Lead, Follow, or..

Saint Petersburg, FL

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Originally posted by trev33
it wasn't as warm as i thought it would've been in october in miami when i was over. not cold but not what i expected.
It's usually HOT here in October.. This season has been very strange, the Goblins were shivering in their costumes at Halloween.

A Unique Nickname

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Originally posted by SmookieP
It's usually HOT here in October.. This season has been very strange, the Goblins were shivering in their costumes at Halloween.
i would be lying if i said i wasn't a little pissed that i had to wear a jumper (sweater) while i was there.

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