Black is very nearly in zugzwang here, whereas White has a clear plan of attack: namely, advance the king to b5, wait for a knight move (or exchange B for N if necessary), capture the doubled pawns, then advance the White a-pawn. So long as there are pawns distributed across the board (both flanks and center), bishops are theoretically stronger than knights (due to telepower). Therefore, strategic planning suggests that Black's position might be held by liquidating pawns and reducing the pawn structure to a single front.
For example: ... Ne7-f5; Bxd5, Nc8-d6; Bf3, b5; axb (if a4-a5, then Nc4), Nxb5+; Kd3, Nf5xd4; Bxb7 Nf5; Bc6 (threatening Be8+ and Bxh5), Nd6; is still unclear but offers fewer winning chances for White, and the knights are no longer at a distance disadvantage compared to the bishop pair.
Any other continuation for Black from the given position appears to lead to immediate loss of material with no compensation.
2) Play on, avoid getting into zugzwang, don't allow check by the B on e8, hope for a draw.