1. Joined
    11 Nov '05
    Moves
    43938
    27 Jun '08 05:17
    Originally posted by forkedknight
    Yes, see my thread titled "Blackjack" if you care to look at this further. You need a table that will allow a bet range between $1 and $2048 (unheard of -- most casinos allow $5-100 for the cheap tables) in order to have a 23% chance to win $2048. That betting strategy just doesn't hold up in a real casino.
    Then my point (2) holds. If your not permitted to bet any 2^n dollar, then you will eventually lose all what you have. And (4) too, if it's not permitted by the casino.

    I've never been to a casino, well, I've never bet anything anyway.
  2. Standard memberPBE6
    Bananarama
    False berry
    Joined
    14 Feb '04
    Moves
    28719
    27 Jun '08 15:11
    Originally posted by eatmybishop
    yes, of course, i forgot about that... i guess this is why card counting comes in handy....

    how about if i bet $1 and lose, i bet $2, if i lose i bet $4... etc.... surely eventually i would win and win my money back... i'm sure this is nothing new but wondered why more people dont do it
    This is called the Martingale betting system, and it has been used and marketed to the unwary countless times - since the 18th century in France, according to Wikipedia:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(betting_system)

    The problem is it doesn't change the house advantage one bit, it just makes the bankroll swings much more extreme. The Wizard has an article on this, too:

    http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/bettingsystems.html
  3. Joined
    29 Jan '07
    Moves
    3612
    28 Jun '08 08:15
    Originally posted by forkedknight
    Yes, see my thread titled "Blackjack" if you care to look at this further. You need a table that will allow a bet range between $1 and $2048 (unheard of -- most casinos allow $5-100 for the cheap tables) in order to have a 23% chance to win $2048. That betting strategy just doesn't hold up in a real casino.
    but it could be done online
  4. Joined
    15 Feb '07
    Moves
    667
    28 Jun '08 11:46
    No system of betting alone can shift negative odds (less than 100% payoff) into your favor in the long run.

    So says the Wizard of Odds.. (Just ignore the man behind the curtain..)
  5. Joined
    26 Jun '06
    Moves
    59283
    29 Jun '08 03:29
    Originally posted by FabianFnas
    The reason it's not used very much is that (1) you only win $1 each time, (2) you risc losing everything you have with a certain probability (3) It's not fun in the long run and (4) is it permitted in the first hand by the casino?
    4. yes, theyll let you bet like this, only because theyll end up taking your money all the same when you do this many, many, many times..

    the first 25 times you might win a tiny bit of money, but then what happens is you eventually lose it all, making it worse of a plan than someone just playing normal
  6. Earth Prime
    Joined
    16 Mar '05
    Moves
    35265
    11 Jul '08 02:15
    Originally posted by eatmybishop
    why isnt it 50/50... if both players have to get to 21 from random cards how can one person be favourite... does the dealer win on a draw?
    Because if both the dealer and the player bust, the player loses his money to the dealer.
  7. Joined
    12 Sep '07
    Moves
    2668
    11 Jul '08 11:44
    Ok, even if the chances were 50/50, even if they are slightly in your favour, if you keep playing the casino will win all your money. If you kept on betting, you would lose because the casinos capital is much greater that yours.
  8. Earth Prime
    Joined
    16 Mar '05
    Moves
    35265
    11 Jul '08 16:39
    Originally posted by Dejection
    even if they are slightly in your favour, if you keep playing the casino will win all your money.
    uh. no. If the odds are slightly in your favor, you will win overall.
  9. lazy boy derivative
    Joined
    11 Mar '06
    Moves
    71817
    12 Jul '08 19:33
    I nearly always come out ahead at the sports book. Sure the room gets a vig but if you look hard enough you spot some very reachable and favorable conclusions.
  10. Southern California
    Joined
    14 Jun '08
    Moves
    118
    02 Aug '08 21:13
    the best thing to do is play a game that you're skilled at.. not a game where you have the same chance anyone else has.
    ex: you're good at poker, play that because you have a chance of winning
  11. Standard memberAThousandYoung
    Insanity at Masada
    tinyurl.com/mw7txe34
    Joined
    23 Aug '04
    Moves
    26660
    10 Aug '08 22:251 edit
    Originally posted by Dejection
    Ok, even if the chances were 50/50, even if they are slightly in your favour, if you keep playing the casino will win all your money. If you kept on betting, you would lose because the casinos capital is much greater that yours.
    That doesn't matter because the player is not forced to bet everything at once. He can stay in the range where he always has a significant reserve.
  12. Joined
    10 Aug '08
    Moves
    11388
    19 Aug '08 18:24
    what the heck has all this got to do with chess?😏
  13. Joined
    15 Feb '07
    Moves
    667
    20 Aug '08 01:16
    You're in the Puzzles/Posers forum. It doesn't have to have anything to do with chess. In fact, a number of the other threads are equally un-chess-related.
  14. Joined
    20 Aug '08
    Moves
    219
    20 Aug '08 11:25
    They wouldnt have greater odds as such. If they were all splitting the money between them then I guess you could call it "BETTER ODDS OF WINNING"because there are several of them against the dealer. Its just they would know whether to fold or not because they would know what cards each other had, like if the majority of them had high cards in there hands like jacks or 10's etc, then theywould probably take a hit and go for it, all in all they would just have a better idea of what was left in the pack that the dealer has.
  15. Joined
    12 Sep '07
    Moves
    2668
    20 Aug '08 12:29
    Originally posted by Coconut
    uh. no. If the odds are slightly in your favor, you will win overall.
    Im not saying overall, I'm saying that since the casino has relativley infinite amount of money compared to the player, the player will lose all his money first, and thus be unable to continue playing. Unfair, but that's what happens if you keep on gambling, again and again (many gamblers seem to do this).
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