Originally posted by humy
the implication being;, the longer the respite in global warming (excluding the ocean temperatures), the more it will came back with revengeance (metaphorically speaking ) when it returns.
Global warming is the heat gain of the Earth system.
If what they are saying is true, and this cycle will reduce atmospheric temps because
of an increase in cold surface water in the North Atlantic...
All that means is that the largest heat reservoirs in the system** will gain energy
faster and more efficiently. ~90% of all the energy gain from global warming is into the
So what it's saying is that while it might temporarily reduce the rate of average temperature
gain [while probably doing nothing to halt or delay climate change***] in the atmosphere.
It does so by increasing total energy gain of the system.
In short, just like the last so called 'pause' in global warming, it will in fact be nothing of the sort.
***Climate change will continue unabated as while this might stop the average temps from increasing
it does so by cooling a specific region as an offset to warming elsewhere.
This last winter in the USA the national average temperature was about average.
However this was achieved by having half the country in below average deep freeze, and the other half
basked in a heatwave and drought... The energy gain in the system increases, the climate changes,
but the average temp wasn't any higher.