Betting on Championship;

Originally posted by zakkwylder
nicobuyhoom

Oops! Nicohuyboom.

Originally posted by flexmore
we obviously should not discuss games in progress ...

but: Tournament 414

after looking at the games and anything else we value;

what odds do we give the participants?

after a quick look i guess;

tebb 0.22
nichuyboom 0.3
quirine 0.23
mistsplicer 0.25

i hope this is not against site rules - and will alert my own post - partly for fun, partly as a matter of process.

These odds don't add up to 1.00

Originally posted by RBHILL
These odds don't add up to 1.00

It is 0,30, not 0,03. If adds up to 1,00

Looks like Quirine is about to beat Dave in their other game.

Originally posted by Freddie2004
I go for the outsider...5 recs on mistsplicer to win.

i have just been looking through the games in progress (but do not understand them very well), and considering the games won ...

my odds are now, in this order:

nicohuyboom 36%,
mistsplicer 29%,
Quirine 28%,
David Tebb 7%

tebb has suffered two losses and a draw yet no wins, even i can see the sweat on his brow in a progressing game ... why do i give tebb a 7% chance? ... 3(b) is a very small possibility for almost all strong players , but it is not a possibility for tebb, just google fide and you will see ... tebb is also a long term rhp player unlikely to disappear for no apparent reason.

Originally posted by flexmore
nicohuyboom 36%,
mistsplicer 29%,
Quirine 28%,
David Tebb 7%

A bookmaker would translate that to:

nicohuyboom 7/4F
mistsplicer, Quirine 5/2
David Tebb 13/1

Except if you add up the odds a bookmaker offers, it will always be more than 100%. He has bills to pay...

Originally posted by Freddie2004
Looks like Quirine is about to beat Dave in their other game.

you were right ...

i now give:

Quirine 39%,
nicohuyboom 34%,
mistsplicer 26%,
David Tebb 1%

i know nicohuyboom has more points ... but i now rate quirine ahead because of quirine's recent incredible performances; presumably they will continue .... especially important in considering quirine's performance is http://www.timeforchess.com/core/viewpublicgames.php?&p1uid=19960&showgamescode=I&page=5 - notice how no opponents are waiting a long time for quirine to move in lost games.

Too bad i forgot I wanted to win this tournament or I woulda stuck around just for it. I would have bet on me after round 1, but it appears I got timed out in all my round 2 games :-(.

Originally posted by TRACKHEAD21
Too bad i forgot I wanted to win this tournament or I woulda stuck around just for it. I would have bet on me after round 1, but it appears I got timed out in all my round 2 games :-(.

I await a post from you that isn't about yourself...

Originally posted by marinakatomb
I await a post from you that isn't about yourself...

*seals expected response in envelope*

Originally posted by marinakatomb
I await a post from you that isn't about yourself...

I wouldn't hold your breath for it, egocentrism is an addictive thing.

are you gone to bet agine

Gah! nicohuyboom, you've failed me! He still has a chance, but Quirine's the definite favorite.

Originally posted by ark13
Gah! nicohuyboom, you've failed me! He still has a chance, but Quirine's the definite favorite.

If you ask me, looking at all the games... mistsplicer has been my favourite all the time.

Originally posted by schakuhr
If you ask me, looking at all the games... mistsplicer has been my favourite all the time.

I may not be very good...but looking at his games he seems really strong...which is why I voted for him!