Duration of the Epidemic

@eladar said
Experts are predicting 3 waves of this Coronavirus.

Even if we did nothing and the virus spread unchecked, it would still have 3 cycles with two cycles free of the Coronavirus. Obviously social distancing is not going to change the basic nature of the cycle.

@divegeester

I am hoping to clear up misconceptions about this epidemic. It will hopefully calm down the hysteria.

@wolfgang59 said
You would have to define what you mean by "waves" I've not read anything
so a link would be appreciated. If you mean there will be 3 peaks then maybe,
but that will be determined by a country's response, not the virus. In NZ there
is talk of keeping the cases manageable perhaps by opening up different
regions at diffent times then shutting them down again. That wou ...[text shortened]... hat you mean by it would still have
3 cycles with two cycles free of the Coronavirus. Free?

@eladar said
Or is it that the Coronavirus is a winter virus expected to go dormant over the summer months?

@eladar said
[b]But summer colds can actually make patients feel sicker because they generate more symptoms. Both types of colds are characterized by a runny nose and other upper respiratory symptoms, but summer viruses can affect the whole system, not just the nose, causing flu-like symptoms https://healthcare-in-europe.com/en/news/no-summer-vacations-for-viruses.html

@wolfgang59 said
Remember writing this about summer colds?

They are very rare. I have gotten many colds over my lifetime, never in the summer.

Now you are an expert on these summer colds that never happen!

@wolfgang59

I can tell that you have not bothered to read the information I have provided in this thread.


The difference between summer and winter viruses was given from a Doctor working for UCLA.

University of California Los Angeles.

Summer colds are also spread differently. While winter colds are usually transmitted in enclosed rooms by respiratory droplets, summer viruses are spread through contact with body secretions and easily transmitted by children."But preventive measures are the same for both types of colds: wash hands often and well, and stay clear of people who are sick,” says Dr. Cohen. 

https://healthcare-in-europe.com/en/news/no-summer-vacations-for-viruses.html 


How is the Coronavirus spread?

@eladar said
Summer colds are also spread differently. While winter colds are usually transmitted in enclosed rooms by respiratory droplets, summer viruses are spread through contact with body secretions and easily transmitted by children."

@wolfgang59 said
This "information" is akin to saying "red roses are red,
while yellow roses are predominantly yellow".

@eladar said
I am not sure if everyone is on the same page here, at least not in this forum.

What do you believe will cause the end of this first round of the Epidemic? Is it that a certain amount if the populatiin will get infected then the virus will magically stop spreading, then magically start up again?

Experts are predicting 3 waves of this Coronavirus.

Even if we did noth ...[text shortened]... ng to change the basic nature of the cycle.

So what is going to bring this first round to a stop?

@eladar said
It means that this winter virus will go dormant during the summer like other winter viruses. When fall arrives the virus will likely start up again.

So in the Northern Hemisphere things will be winding down in the next couple of months. In the Southern Hemisphere things are just getting started.

@eladar said
Summer colds are also spread differently. While winter colds are usually transmitted in enclosed rooms by respiratory droplets, summer viruses are spread through contact with body secretions and easily transmitted by children."But preventive measures are the same for both types of colds: wash hands often and well, and stay clear of people who are sick,” says Dr. Cohen. 

htt ...[text shortened]... care-in-europe.com/en/news/no-summer-vacations-for-viruses.html 


How is the Coronavirus spread?

@eladar said
It fits what the experts say, deaths due to Caronavirus in the US by June will be below epidemic levels, approaching zero.

The only question is how many would die by then.