@eladar saidSo please formulate a spcific thesis… prferably don't found any more threads on the Topic wait and see and with hindsight discuss the Thesis and why it went wrong (no claimng other would be responsible) you could start here by discussing why the numbers of new infections are not yet at zero
It certainly appears the virus is going away during the month of May. If this trend continues, what is your explanation?
@eladar saidYou obviously still don't get the difference between COVID numbers and 'seasonal flu' numbers.
Lol, as if that is even close to pandemic numbers. That can't be correct. Those numbers are much closer to seasonal flu numbers and those go away by June.
If they want 160k, then they are going to have to improve their might be covid numbers.
Apples and oranges.
@eladar saidYou, sir, are a ghoul.
It is not going away, have you been looking at the state by state death counts? New Cases counts? We are testing way more people now than early on, so the low new case counts look even better than the early ones.
Take away a hand full of northeastern states, then the US did not have close to a thousand deaths today, which includes the 50 percent might be bump.
@shavixmir saidThis is due to the reporting routine at the weekend. The World-o-meters site gives deaths by date of report, which is fine this isn't a criticism, but that's not the date the deaths actually happened, which can be a significant amount of time ago. The NHS England page [1] give a sequence of Excel files which illustrate this rather well, the one for today (4th May) [2] gives a time sequence of the date of occurrence for all the deaths they report that day, broken down by age and, separately, by region. The earliest death reported by NHS England today happened on 29th March.
Dumb arse.
I told you a 100 times 2 things:
- the main peak seems to last a month in every country, so, if you stick to social distancing, the US should be roughly the same.
- every single weekend the numbers are way lower than during the week. Look at the death chart on that site we frequent... every weekend, in every country, there is a two day dip in numbers.
So, what ya think?
[1] https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
[2] https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2020/05/COVID-19-daily-announced-deaths-4-May-2020.xlsx
@deepthought saidSame for Germany. The rki numbers err on the lower side, corrections are made up to weeks after the date:
This is due to the reporting routine at the weekend. The World-o-meters site gives deaths by date of report, which is fine this isn't a criticism, but that's not the date the deaths actually happened, which can be a significant amount of time ago. The NHS England page [1] give a sequence of Excel files which illustrate this rather well, the one for today (4th May) [2] g ...[text shortened]... nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2020/05/COVID-19-daily-announced-deaths-4-May-2020.xlsx
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/478220a4c454480e823b17327b2bf1d4
This is a very strong scientific Approach, but of Course isn't fit to encourage speculation...
@earl-of-trumps saidI am in the age range, 64, have minor lung issues, that is supposed to be " at risk ". Well I do not give a rats about the extremely small chance of getting this virus set against the guaranteed chance of my kids future being totally stuffed, oh to late, already happened. All these numbers look so bad to those that have NEVER looked at the numbers before.
I don't know if the virus is going away but I'll bet anyone crabs to dollars that the people, like the flowers, will be busting out in May
World wide, people are getting antsy.
We are going to kill more people with the shutdown if we do not open soon.
I am in Australia and as far as I am concerned they have spent $440 billion so maybe save a few oldies. A bit sad, my kids will have to pay it back.
As far as I am concerned, to date, Sweden is doing fine with a death rate of only .274 per 1000 and NO LOCKDOWN, no debt FORCED onto the young generation. So far Sweden is one of the smart ones.
@jimmac saidSweden has the 7th highest death rate per capita in the world, they also have partial lockdown measures in place. Let's see where they are at in a few months.
As far as I am concerned, to date, Sweden is doing fine with a death rate of only .274 per 1000 and NO LOCKDOWN, no debt FORCED onto the young generation. So far Sweden is one of the smart ones.