States Open, predicted spike

Ok, now that states are starting to reopen when will be the predicted spike?

If there are going to be deaths, the earliest I think you can tell well be two weeks. It takes a week to show symptoms, then people who die usually do so a week later. So deaths you see today are the result of conditions two or three weeks ago.

At least that is how I understand it.

So how long before Georgia sees a spike in deaths?

@eladar said
Ok, now that states are starting to reopen when will be the predicted spike?

If there are going to be deaths, the earliest I think you can tell well be two weeks. It takes a week to show symptoms, then people who die usually do so a week later. So deaths you see today are the result of conditions two or three weeks ago.

At least that is how I understand it.

So how long before Georgia sees a spike in deaths?

@lemondrop said
according your brilliant analysis
two weeks

@eladar said
Ok what will you call a spike for Georgia?

@lemondrop said
a sharp uptick in infections

@eladar said
Infections depend on positive tests, better to stick with deaths.

@lemondrop

If they increase their testing you will naturally see a spike if everything remains the same.

Even so Georgia yesterday

New Cases 1232
Deaths 34

According to the CDC, before this whole thing is over with, 70% of Americans will have contracted the virus. Unless you are prepared to live like a hermit for the next two years, you might consider living your life and take your chances.

Georgia opened April 24, so we should see a spike in death by May 8.

Today Goeogia's death count at this point is....8

New Cases 836

It is official, 8 new deaths for Georgia today

@my2sons said
, you might consider living your life and take your chances.

@wolfgang59 said
And you might consider asking everyone you come into contact with about living their lives.

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