Now that the Coronavirus appears to be on the way down and outside of the Northeast, most states appear to have low Corona Virus rates, how long?
Will some states allow businesses to start up again in a week? In 2 weeks? Sometime in May?
My bold prediction...
First big state to open...Texas, within 2 weeks
@eladar saidRight now Texas has 11,348 active cases. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Now that the Coronavirus appears to be on the way down and outside of the Northeast, most states appear to have low Corona Virus rates, how long?
Will some states allow businesses to start up again in a week? In 2 weeks? Sometime in May?
My bold prediction...
First big state to open...Texas, within 2 weeks
And that is surely a gross underestimate, Texas is 49th out of 50 States in tests per capita (only Alabama is worse). https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
And according to IMHE model, it's daily death toll is supposed to peak on April 28th, one day after you predict they will stop social distancing measures. https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/texas
You never know if State officials will be that stupid, but I wouldn't count on it.
@no1marauder
How many deaths did Texas have yesterday?
11
Out of how many people?
29 million
@eladar saidThat's good, I guess.
@no1marauder
How many deaths did Texas have yesterday?
11
Out of how many people?
29 million
How many deaths do you want them to have? Surely listening to your stupid crank theories and idiotic advice is a good way to get a lot of people sick.
@no1marauder saidTo be shut down? Something like New York at the very least.
That's good, I guess.
How many deaths do you want them to have? Surely listening to your stupid crank theories and idiotic advice is a good way to get a lot of people sick.
That model used to predict peak death rate day dropped from the 16th to the 8th in 2 or three days. They have been lowering predictions and will lower the numbers again shortly.
Nobody should be sick there anyway according to your "summer stops the virus" theory. I was in Texas for a vacation from March 13th to March 20th and the weather was between 75-80F every day and never got below 65F. Yet the county I was in has 152 confirmed cases now (again with little testing). https://www.brazoriacountytx.gov/departments/health-department/brazoria-county-coronavirus-map
Is the virus in Texas too dumb to know that the weather is too warm for it to survive?
@eladar saidNew York and every other State would have had many, many more deaths if they hadn't put in place mandatory social distancing measures. Waiting until tens of thousands or more confirmed cases and thousands of deaths BEFORE putting those orders into place would have been counterproductive to say the least.
To be shut down? Something like New York at the very least.
That model used to predict peak death rate day dropped from the 16th to the 8th in 2 or three days. They have been lowering predictions and will lower the numbers again shortly.
I know the economic slowdown hurts Donald's re-election chances and you care more about that than people's lives but a fairly large majority of Americans disagree with your deranged priorities.
@no1marauder
Lol, if you are going to say 11 people a day out of 29 million people is worth shutting down a state, you are hopeless.
Do you believe in keeping a state shut down due to 11 deaths a day?
Btw, winter viruses have been known to hang around into May. This one started later in the season, it makes sense it would hang on later, but with fewer deaths.
@eladar saidI think the Texas Health officials should make that call not a bloodthirsty lunatic like yourself.
@no1marauder
Lol, if you are going to say 11 people a day out of 29 million people is worth shutting down a state, you are hopeless.
Do you believe in keeping a state shut down due to 11 deaths a day?
There are 1,338 people hospitalized in the State right now and that only includes patients with a lab confirmed test. https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
It seems fairly obvious that the death toll will rise in the coming weeks even with social distancing. Why they should be anxious for even more people to die I have no idea; even with limited testing they showed 1441 new cases on April 10th. https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
The goal should be to stop the spread of the virus first; there cannot be any return to normal in the middle of a pandemic.
@eladar saidI'm not interested in your "winter virus" crank theory and neither are the experts on this virus. End social distancing measures before the spread of the virus is checked and it will quickly start killing again even into the summer is what they are saying.
@no1marauder
Lol, if you are going to say 11 people a day out of 29 million people is worth shutting down a state, you are hopeless.
Do you believe in keeping a state shut down due to 11 deaths a day?
Btw, winter viruses have been known to hang around into May. This one started later in the season, it makes sense it would hang on later, but with fewer deaths.
EDIT: So your "winter virus" didn't start in winter. Brilliant.
@no1marauder
11 people dead in one day in a state of 29 million.
Pretty good evidence that the winter virus is giving way to spring.
@eladar saidExcept the weather's been spring or closer to summer for over a month and Texas' cases have been steadily increasing over that time.
@no1marauder
11 people dead in one day in a state of 29 million.
Pretty good evidence that the winter virus is giving way to spring.
And the weather's about the same in Louisiana and they have a per capita death toll higher than any State but New York and New Jersey.
What the evidence shows is that social distancing is working which is what the experts are saying. Yet you want to abandon it.
I will say this; any Governor of any State that goes against public health experts and ends mandatory social distancing measures before they say it is advisable is risking political suicide. If the experts are right and Eladar is wrong and the virus spikes up again, he/she might has well resign right then and there.
I doubt any are going to be so reckless.
@no1marauder saidUV light has no heat.
Except the weather's been spring or closer to summer for over a month and Texas' cases have been steadily increasing over that time.
And the weather's about the same in Louisiana and they have a per capita death toll higher than any State but New York and New Jersey.
What the evidence shows is that social distancing is working which is what the experts are saying. Yet you want to abandon it.
Texas never had a real breakout of cases, no surge of death. No way of knowing how it would have worked out if no shut down took place. It is not likely to see a New York situation.
@eladar saidBecause Texas put in social distancing measures early before any breakout on March 20th when they had only a relatively few number of cases. They didn't listen to people like you.
UV light has no heat.
Texas never had a real breakout of cases, no surge of death. No way of knowing how it would have worked out if no shut down took place. It is not likely to see a New York situation.