15 Oct '20 16:32>
https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_first/BLT.20.265892.pdf
This was originally submitted in May, before we were using convalescent plasma, Dexamethasone, mab treatments and Remdesivir (in fact, it was right in the heart of the hydroxychloroquine era).
Long story short, the paper infers a median COVID infection fatality rate of 0.23% (or about 1/15 of the scary 3.6% number that was thrown about in March). (Yes, I know I'm comparing CFR to IFR, but that distinction was ignored by the media at the time as well.)
See Table 4 on Page 31.
Obviously, numbers vary widely from place to place and there's no single number presented for the USA. But you can see that, with certain outliers, the numbers were much lower than we were led to believe.
Look also in the far right column for the IFR for people under 70 (including people under 70 with comorbidities). Mostly microscopic numbers.
Given the vastly improving treatments since then, you can probably divide those numbers by at least 2 (maybe 3) to assess the current risk of death from COVID-19.
As I always say, I'm very much in favor of taking low cost steps to be careful (such as masks and avoiding large gatherings), but the Plague this is not, folks. If you're under 70 and relatively healthy, it's exceedingly unlikely that this poses a danger to your life.
This was originally submitted in May, before we were using convalescent plasma, Dexamethasone, mab treatments and Remdesivir (in fact, it was right in the heart of the hydroxychloroquine era).
Long story short, the paper infers a median COVID infection fatality rate of 0.23% (or about 1/15 of the scary 3.6% number that was thrown about in March). (Yes, I know I'm comparing CFR to IFR, but that distinction was ignored by the media at the time as well.)
See Table 4 on Page 31.
Obviously, numbers vary widely from place to place and there's no single number presented for the USA. But you can see that, with certain outliers, the numbers were much lower than we were led to believe.
Look also in the far right column for the IFR for people under 70 (including people under 70 with comorbidities). Mostly microscopic numbers.
Given the vastly improving treatments since then, you can probably divide those numbers by at least 2 (maybe 3) to assess the current risk of death from COVID-19.
As I always say, I'm very much in favor of taking low cost steps to be careful (such as masks and avoiding large gatherings), but the Plague this is not, folks. If you're under 70 and relatively healthy, it's exceedingly unlikely that this poses a danger to your life.