Originally posted by vistesd
I always seem to think that Plantinga’s argument is worse than even his (better informed) critics think.
It seems to me that Plantinga’s argument contains a hidden assumption, that the failure of our cognitive faculties to accurately identify the error of (R|N&E)—at least among a large sample of thinkers—bears heavily on the likelihood of such faculties t ...[text shortened]... ems to me that P confuses a priori with a posteriori probabilities in this regard?
Plantinga’s argument (or at least this part of it) seems to take the form of a reducto something like the following:
(1) R;
(2) R entails recognizing that ~(R|N&E);
—or at least that P(R|N&E) is so low that it ought not to be accepted
(3) A sufficiently large, sufficiently intelligent and informed, population fails to recognize that ~(R|N&E);
(4) Therefore, ~R.
I reject (2). If P’s argument does not (implicitly) rest on something like (2), then I am wrong.
Plantinga definitely does not hold (2). If he did, it would completely undermine the rest of his position, since the rest of his position is definitely committed to both (a) R and (b) lots of people do not recognize or endorse the idea that P(R|N&E) is low or inscrutable.
I think there must be some confusion here over what Plantinga means when he argues that the probability thesis defeats R for a naturalist. He is not saying that failing to recognize his contention about P(R|N&E) means ~R. To see that he is not making any claim like this, I will try to present his basic argument below.
R = our cognitive faculties are Reliable.
N = Naturalism
E = contemporary Evolutionary account
S = a devotee of N&E
(i) P(R|N&E) is low or inscrutable.
(ii) For S, (i) is a defeater for R. (In other words, the conjunction of N&E&(i) defeats R.)
(iii) If S has a defeater for R, then she has an undercutting defeater for every belief she holds, including the belief in N&E itself.
(iv) Therefore N&E is basically self-defeating.
Nothing in there will translate to your (2). He cannot hold (2) because he is personally committed to (1) and (3). Plantinga does not think the fact that many people do not agree with his contention about P(R|N&E) means that ~R. His belief that R, along with his ideas of what it means for cognitive faculties to be generally reliable, admits that there may be lots of contrareity on many theoretical matters.