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Evidence and Royal flushes

Evidence and Royal flushes

Spirituality

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@kellyjay said
You think he is wrong in saying it’s like this so we are like this?
No, it's not wrong. It just does not prove what he thinks it proves.

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@moonbus said
No, it's not wrong. It just does not prove what he thinks it proves.
😀🎈like I said if you are waiting for indisputable proof good luck with that!

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@FMF

Do I care if you feel nauseated?
You have no better explanation, period.

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@kellyjay said
😀🎈like I said if you are waiting for indisputable proof good luck with that!
I'm not waiting for anything. But I know an unsound proof when I see one.

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I watched %75 of the Cold Case Christianity video.
I think some here ciould not stand to watch it pparently.

The flimsy excuses I see posted were dealt with in the video.
The analogy of the crime scene was excellent.

The standard excuses, like begging the question, the criminologiest dealt with and impressively referred to agnostic scientists statements. Paul Davis, for example and Michio Kaku.

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@kellyjay said
No, he and I have both said that the whole is set up for life for this planet. It isn't wasted space when you look at the size and scope of the forces at play; it all plays a part.
The universe has a diameter of approximately 93 billion light years. God created a mostly empty universe that large just to set up life on earth?


@sonship said
@FMF

Do I care if you feel nauseated?
You have no better explanation, period.
I didn't say I felt "nauseated". But I see what you did there. Your constant riff about a lack of belief in your religion is caused by "pride" is ridiculous.

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@moonbus said
I'm not waiting for anything. But I know an unsound proof when I see one.
Well we are dealt the hand we have, do with it as you will.


@sonship said
I watched %75 of the Cold Case Christianity video.
I think some here ciould not stand to watch it pparently.

The flimsy excuses I see posted were dealt with in the video.
The analogy of the crime scene was excellent.

The standard excuses, like begging the question, the criminologiest dealt with and impressively referred to agnostic scientists statements. Paul Davis, for example and Michio Kaku.
Nonsense. The proposed conclusion (intelligent design) simply does not follow from the premises. All of his improbable probabilities (royal flushes and stuff) prove nothing. Here's why: obviously, if you are dealt only one hand at poker, the odds are against you that you will get a royal flush. How much against you? Well, just do the math: there are 2,598,960 possible 5-card poker hands, only four of which are royal flushes. So your chances of being dealt a royal flush, in one hand at one time, are 2,598,960 divided by four, or 1:649,740. Pretty slim indeed. However, given a deck of 52 and billions and billions of shuffles, the probability is 1 (=100% certain) that a royal flush will occur.

How does this apply to life? There are about 100 known elements in the universe. Given 14 billion years to shuffle them continuously, the probability is 1 (=100% certainty) that the right combination we call "life" will occur somewhere, sometime, in this vast universe. Pure chance suffices; no intelligent design required.

Don't think I don't hear the objections of Creationists: "Life cannot come from not-life." They are wrong. They are presenting us with a false dichotomy. There are in-between stages, things which are not yet quite alive, but they're not entirely not-life either. They exhibit some but not all of the functions and features we call "life." Ever hear of COVID? That alone disproves the Creationist's objection that life cannot come from not-life. A virus is not life, but it's not not-life either -- it's an in-between stage, because it exhibits some but not all of the functions and features we call "life." Photosynthesis is another example of an in-between stage. We usually associate photosynthesis with plants, which of course are alive; but photosynthesis also occurs in nature as a not-living chemical process, apart from plants. Furthermore, we know that organic chemicals exist in interstellar space. All the building blocks are there, without intelligent design. All that is required is enough time to shuffle all the ingredients, to form in-between stages, such as photosynthesis, viruses, and organic chemicals, and eventually, the shuffling results in a royal flush, life, somewhere in this great big universe. 100% certain, without intelligent design. Here we are.

Don't think I don't hear the objections of YECs: "the universe was created 6,000 years ago, there haven't been enough shuffles to get a royal flush in only 6,000 years." They're wrong. Just look up at the night sky; the lights you see were not made 6,000 years ago. If they were, they would be so close to us that we would not be here. We know how big the universe is: it is not only 6,000 light years in radius. Billions and billions of stars only 6,000 light years away from us would have fried the Earth with radiation long before life evolved from pond slime. As the speaker in the video states, and on that point he is right, the nearest stars must be much farther away from us than 6,000 light years in order for the right conditions to obtain to support life here.

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@moonbus said
Nonsense. The proposed conclusion (intelligent design) simply does not follow from the premises. All of his improbable probabilities (royal flushes and stuff) prove nothing. Here's why: obviously, if you are dealt only one hand at poker, the odds are against you that you will get a royal flush. How much against you? Well, just do the math: there are 2,598,960 possible 5-card ...[text shortened]... way from us than 6,000 light years in order for the right conditions to obtain to support life here.
Great post!

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@ghost-of-a-duke said
Great post!
Thanks. Life is the royal flush of chemistry. It's nothing but basic chemistry and elementary probability; not matters of opinion. It requires clear thinking, not to get side-tracked by a religious agenda. A rarity here at SF, where theological opinions reign supreme. My gut reaction to this whole thread is: take it to Science, Spanky!

Now, if you want to know when souls were created, that is a fit topic for the Spirituality Forum.

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@moonbus said
Nonsense. The proposed conclusion (intelligent design) simply does not follow from the premises. All of his improbable probabilities (royal flushes and stuff) prove nothing. Here's why: obviously, if you are dealt only one hand at poker, the odds are against you that you will get a royal flush. How much against you? Well, just do the math: there are 2,598,960 possible 5-card ...[text shortened]... way from us than 6,000 light years in order for the right conditions to obtain to support life here.
How many chances do you think played out to get it right? What do you call a chance? Having every condition met allows for a chance at getting it right all the other moments have zero possibilities for success. Moreover if the wrong thing occurs all possible future chances vanish because what maybe required gets polluted and becomes detrimental.


@moonbus said
Nonsense. The proposed conclusion (intelligent design) simply does not follow from the premises. All of his improbable probabilities (royal flushes and stuff) prove nothing. Here's why: obviously, if you are dealt only one hand at poker, the odds are against you that you will get a royal flush. How much against you? Well, just do the math: there are 2,598,960 possible 5-card ...[text shortened]... way from us than 6,000 light years in order for the right conditions to obtain to support life here.
Your 100% certainty is bogus!

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@kellyjay said
How many chances do you think played out to get it right? What do you call a chance? Having every condition met allows for a chance at getting it right all the other moments have zero possibilities for success. Moreover if the wrong thing occurs all possible future chances vanish because what maybe required gets polluted and becomes detrimental.
The flaw in your argument is asserting this is the only possible out come.

If I randomly roll six dies and happen to get the result of 4, 2, 6,1, 5 and 5, the chances of getting that *specific* outcome is near impossible. But that doesn't change the fact I still arrived at that outcome randomly.

Same with the universe. To get the specific outcome of the current universe may be low, but that doesn't mean it wasn't randomly created, or that other possible outcomes couldn't have happened.

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@vivify said
The flaw in your argument is asserting this is the only possible out come.

If I randomly roll six dies and happen to get the result of 4, 2, 6,1, 5 and 5, the chances of getting that *specific* outcome is near impossible. But that doesn't change the fact I still arrived at that outcome randomly.

Same with the universe. To get the specific outcome of the current uni ...[text shortened]... hat doesn't mean it wasn't randomly created, or that other possible outcomes couldn't have happened.
As soon as there are set ranges of limited acceptable varence everything will no longer be wide open for variations. The more set each parameter becomes the less variation is in play. Monkey with gravity the whole can be destroyed.