27 Mar '12 13:41>
Originally posted by robbie carrobieIt's the same argument though.
its hardly the same as making life from non life, is it!
Event A is incredibly improbable and thus can't have happened by chance unless some intelligent
force was acting to ensure that it did happen.
This is essentially your argument against life forming.
And the same argument can be equally applied to any other improbably event.
And it's fallacious for all of them for the reasons already given.
The question is not what are the chances of THIS life forming but of ANY life forming.
And the relevant science pretty much indicates the odds of any life forming are pretty high.
All the relevant complex chemicals form naturally in the conditions found on the early earth,
(heck, many of them form in space), And do so in large quantities.
So the odds of life forming are simply a function of those complex chemicals coming together
in the right combination which is massively less unlikely than the odds you come up with.
At which point you need mearly note that there were uncountably large numbers of 'tries' to
achieve this all over the planet every day for a 100 Million years or so at which point the odds
of at least one being successful are really pretty likely.
I mean you can make the same arguments about creating exotic particles in the LHC.
Many particles require the colliding particles to hit at exactly the right angle at exactly the
right orientation to have the right interactions to generate these particles but we get masses
of those incredibly unlikely collisions happening because they produce trillions of collisions per second
and run the experiment for years.
In fact the detectors have massive supercomputers that asses terabytes of data per second looking
for 'interesting' collisions and dump the massive majority of the images because nothing interesting
happened in them because otherwise the amount of data generated would overwhelm the data storage
capacity they have.
The events they are looking for are so unlikely that we need to have quadrillions of collisions to spot
any of them.
Yet by running trillions of collisions per second we regularly and reliably get these events to occur.
The universe is unbelievably huge and unbelievably old.
The surprise factor of finding life in it is pretty much zero.