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Election Prediction Thread

Election Prediction Thread

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@Soothfast said
Certainly my prediction comes a bit late, and factors in a curious development in South Carolina where things are looking very good for the Democrat. I just want the Dems to get at least 52 seats in the Senate, because I don't think Fetterman can be relied upon.

Yes, this is going about as well (so far) as I had hoped.
I agree about Fetterman. Seems like an echo of Manchin.

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So far 3 out of 4 new US House districts that Florida Republicans gerrymandered for themselves—or so they thought—have been won by Democrats. I find that hilarious.

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@no1marauder said
Don't we always have one?

I'll start and be on the "conservative" side of a Blue wave.

235 House seats for the Dems; 51-49 for them in the Senate.
Local news is now saying Dems will get to 248.

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@wildgrass said
Local news is now saying Dems will get to 248.
That would be fantastic if it happens. My hope has long been for 240.

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@Soothfast said
That would be fantastic if it happens. My hope has long been for 240.
Fascism is unpopular.

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@Suzianne said
I agree about Fetterman. Seems like an echo of Manchin.
Democratic Senate wins in South Carolina and Kansas.

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@no1marauder said
Democratic Senate wins in South Carolina and Kansas.
Phenomenal.

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@no1marauder said
Democratic Senate wins in South Carolina and Kansas.
Talarico wins in Texas.

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@Soothfast said
Talarico wins in Texas.
Musk spend over half a billion dollars trying to buy the midterms, the bulk of the money aimed at Talarico. All for nothing! It's a beautiful thing.

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So let's see, in the Senate Democrats have so far picked up North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, Kansas, and Ohio. AP isn't calling Kansas yet, but it looks all but certain to be a Democratic win.

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@wildgrass said
Fascism is unpopular.
Especially clown circus fascism, which doesn't even make the trains run on time.

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Holy crap, the Democratic Senate candidate in Iowa has won. So that's six pickups at this point, which locks in a 53-47 majority so far. I just hope El-Sayed holds on in Michigan. The polls have been in his favor, and so far the polls have been holding up tonight, or even underestimating Democratic strength.